Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to a mostly fine Wednesday in Wellington with northwest winds strengthening, supporting a maximum temperature near 14°C. This aligns with early spring climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C amid variable frontal passages. Persistent El Niño conditions have favored near- or above-average temperatures across the North Island in recent weeks, though no strong warm anomaly is indicated for this specific date. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show limited spread around the 13–14°C range, with minimal risk of cooler southerly changes or significant cloud cover suppressing the peak. Traders appear to weight the consensus output heavily ahead of final observational confirmation on September 9.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on September 9?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 9?
14°C 61%
15°C 19%
13°C 16%
12°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
61%
15°C
19%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 61%
15°C 19%
13°C 16%
12°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
$424 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$79 Vol.
1%
12°C
$36 Vol.
4%
13°C
$369 Vol.
16%
14°C
$490 Vol.
61%
15°C
$210 Vol.
19%
16°C
$47 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C or higher
$275 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to a mostly fine Wednesday in Wellington with northwest winds strengthening, supporting a maximum temperature near 14°C. This aligns with early spring climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C amid variable frontal passages. Persistent El Niño conditions have favored near- or above-average temperatures across the North Island in recent weeks, though no strong warm anomaly is indicated for this specific date. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show limited spread around the 13–14°C range, with minimal risk of cooler southerly changes or significant cloud cover suppressing the peak. Traders appear to weight the consensus output heavily ahead of final observational confirmation on September 9.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,516End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to a mostly fine Wednesday in Wellington with northwest winds strengthening, supporting a maximum temperature near 14°C. This aligns with early spring climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C amid variable frontal passages. Persistent El Niño conditions have favored near- or above-average temperatures across the North Island in recent weeks, though no strong warm anomaly is indicated for this specific date. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show limited spread around the 13–14°C range, with minimal risk of cooler southerly changes or significant cloud cover suppressing the peak. Traders appear to weight the consensus output heavily ahead of final observational confirmation on September 9.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,516End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to a mostly fine Wednesday in Wellington with northwest winds strengthening, supporting a maximum temperature near 14°C. This aligns with early spring climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C amid variable frontal passages. Persistent El Niño conditions have favored near- or above-average temperatures across the North Island in recent weeks, though no strong warm anomaly is indicated for this specific date. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show limited spread around the 13–14°C range, with minimal risk of cooler southerly changes or significant cloud cover suppressing the peak. Traders appear to weight the consensus output heavily ahead of final observational confirmation on September 9.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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