Forecast models for Panama City indicate a daytime maximum near 29–31°C on August 17 amid typical rainy-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which sustains high humidity and scattered convection that limits extreme heating. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant anomalous warming or cooling signals from sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns. The market’s leading outcomes at 30°C (38.5%), 29°C (20.5%), and 31°C (20.0%) reflect trader consensus on this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require atypical subsidence or stronger insolation. Updated numerical guidance expected overnight will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 17?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 17?
30°C 37%
31°C 22%
29°C 19%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
7%
29°C
19%
30°C
37%
31°C
22%
32°C
13%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
31°C 22%
29°C 19%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
1%
27°C
$17 Vol.
6%
28°C
$64 Vol.
7%
29°C
$127 Vol.
19%
30°C
$185 Vol.
37%
31°C
$75 Vol.
22%
32°C
$53 Vol.
13%
33°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Panama City indicate a daytime maximum near 29–31°C on August 17 amid typical rainy-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which sustains high humidity and scattered convection that limits extreme heating. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant anomalous warming or cooling signals from sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns. The market’s leading outcomes at 30°C (38.5%), 29°C (20.5%), and 31°C (20.0%) reflect trader consensus on this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require atypical subsidence or stronger insolation. Updated numerical guidance expected overnight will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$635End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Panama City indicate a daytime maximum near 29–31°C on August 17 amid typical rainy-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which sustains high humidity and scattered convection that limits extreme heating. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant anomalous warming or cooling signals from sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns. The market’s leading outcomes at 30°C (38.5%), 29°C (20.5%), and 31°C (20.0%) reflect trader consensus on this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require atypical subsidence or stronger insolation. Updated numerical guidance expected overnight will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$635End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Panama City indicate a daytime maximum near 29–31°C on August 17 amid typical rainy-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which sustains high humidity and scattered convection that limits extreme heating. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant anomalous warming or cooling signals from sea-surface temperatures or atmospheric patterns. The market’s leading outcomes at 30°C (38.5%), 29°C (20.5%), and 31°C (20.0%) reflect trader consensus on this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require atypical subsidence or stronger insolation. Updated numerical guidance expected overnight will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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