Incoming cold front from the southwest is the dominant driver moderating trader consensus toward an 11–15°C daily maximum in Buenos Aires on August 17, with each outcome priced near 47.5%. Southwesterly flow and increasing southerly winds are expected to suppress daytime heating beneath overcast skies, limiting surface temperatures despite climatological August averages near 17°C. Recent model runs from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional show tight agreement on this range, with minor divergence tied to exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture. Lower or higher extremes remain under 5% as current observational trends and short-range guidance indicate minimal potential for significant deviation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 17?
14°C 46%
13°C 24%
15°C 22%
12°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
9%
13°C
24%
14°C
33%
15°C
22%
16°C
5%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 46%
13°C 24%
15°C 22%
12°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$10 Vol.
5%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$8 Vol.
24%
14°C
$21 Vol.
33%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold front from the southwest is the dominant driver moderating trader consensus toward an 11–15°C daily maximum in Buenos Aires on August 17, with each outcome priced near 47.5%. Southwesterly flow and increasing southerly winds are expected to suppress daytime heating beneath overcast skies, limiting surface temperatures despite climatological August averages near 17°C. Recent model runs from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional show tight agreement on this range, with minor divergence tied to exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture. Lower or higher extremes remain under 5% as current observational trends and short-range guidance indicate minimal potential for significant deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$58End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold front from the southwest is the dominant driver moderating trader consensus toward an 11–15°C daily maximum in Buenos Aires on August 17, with each outcome priced near 47.5%. Southwesterly flow and increasing southerly winds are expected to suppress daytime heating beneath overcast skies, limiting surface temperatures despite climatological August averages near 17°C. Recent model runs from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional show tight agreement on this range, with minor divergence tied to exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture. Lower or higher extremes remain under 5% as current observational trends and short-range guidance indicate minimal potential for significant deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incoming cold front from the southwest is the dominant driver moderating trader consensus toward an 11–15°C daily maximum in Buenos Aires on August 17, with each outcome priced near 47.5%. Southwesterly flow and increasing southerly winds are expected to suppress daytime heating beneath overcast skies, limiting surface temperatures despite climatological August averages near 17°C. Recent model runs from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional show tight agreement on this range, with minor divergence tied to exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture. Lower or higher extremes remain under 5% as current observational trends and short-range guidance indicate minimal potential for significant deviation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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