Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to daytime highs of 30–32°C on August 16 amid the wet season's persistent moisture and cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C. Typical August conditions feature average highs near 30–32°C, with sea-breeze moderation and frequent afternoon showers limiting extreme peaks above 33°C, while brief cloud breaks or urban heat effects could push readings toward 32°C. ENSO-neutral influences and standard climatological baselines support this narrow range, with model consensus highlighting day-to-day variability from convective activity as the key uncertainty factor that keeps probabilities closely matched between 30°C and 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 16?
31°C 33%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
13%
30°C
29%
31°C
33%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 33%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
13%
30°C
29%
31°C
33%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to daytime highs of 30–32°C on August 16 amid the wet season's persistent moisture and cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C. Typical August conditions feature average highs near 30–32°C, with sea-breeze moderation and frequent afternoon showers limiting extreme peaks above 33°C, while brief cloud breaks or urban heat effects could push readings toward 32°C. ENSO-neutral influences and standard climatological baselines support this narrow range, with model consensus highlighting day-to-day variability from convective activity as the key uncertainty factor that keeps probabilities closely matched between 30°C and 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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