Trader sentiment centers on Miami's typical late-summer tropical regime, where average overnight lows hover near 78–80°F amid high humidity and limited radiational cooling. Recent National Weather Service guidance shows persistent southeast flow, dew points near 78°F, and partly cloudy skies that suppress temperature drops, keeping the lowest reading likely between 78–81°F. Subtle differences between the leading 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins hinge on forecast details: clearer intervals or lighter winds overnight would favor the lower bin through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased cloud cover or convective remnants would trap heat and push readings toward 80–81°F. No significant frontal passages or dry-air intrusions are expected in the next 24 hours, leaving model consensus tightly clustered around these values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 17?
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 12%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 12%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on Miami's typical late-summer tropical regime, where average overnight lows hover near 78–80°F amid high humidity and limited radiational cooling. Recent National Weather Service guidance shows persistent southeast flow, dew points near 78°F, and partly cloudy skies that suppress temperature drops, keeping the lowest reading likely between 78–81°F. Subtle differences between the leading 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins hinge on forecast details: clearer intervals or lighter winds overnight would favor the lower bin through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased cloud cover or convective remnants would trap heat and push readings toward 80–81°F. No significant frontal passages or dry-air intrusions are expected in the next 24 hours, leaving model consensus tightly clustered around these values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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