Recent official forecasts from GFS-based models and Russian meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Moscow on September 8 under northwest winds, variable cloud cover, and dry conditions, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 51.5% for 15°C and 33% for 14°C. These values sit below the 1991–2020 average high of 17.9°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal autumnal steering patterns and limited daytime heating. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with peaks expected midday before temperatures fall overnight, though minor revisions in the final runs could shift the exact high by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this evidence-based outlook ahead of real-time observations resolving the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
15°C 53%
14°C 31%
16°C 11%
13°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
31%
15°C
53%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
3%
15°C 53%
14°C 31%
16°C 11%
13°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
7°C or below
$320 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$481 Vol.
2%
13°C
$399 Vol.
6%
14°C
$280 Vol.
31%
15°C
$843 Vol.
53%
16°C
$751 Vol.
11%
17°C or higher
$309 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from GFS-based models and Russian meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Moscow on September 8 under northwest winds, variable cloud cover, and dry conditions, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 51.5% for 15°C and 33% for 14°C. These values sit below the 1991–2020 average high of 17.9°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal autumnal steering patterns and limited daytime heating. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with peaks expected midday before temperatures fall overnight, though minor revisions in the final runs could shift the exact high by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this evidence-based outlook ahead of real-time observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,401End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from GFS-based models and Russian meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Moscow on September 8 under northwest winds, variable cloud cover, and dry conditions, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 51.5% for 15°C and 33% for 14°C. These values sit below the 1991–2020 average high of 17.9°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal autumnal steering patterns and limited daytime heating. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with peaks expected midday before temperatures fall overnight, though minor revisions in the final runs could shift the exact high by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this evidence-based outlook ahead of real-time observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,401End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from GFS-based models and Russian meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Moscow on September 8 under northwest winds, variable cloud cover, and dry conditions, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 51.5% for 15°C and 33% for 14°C. These values sit below the 1991–2020 average high of 17.9°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal autumnal steering patterns and limited daytime heating. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with peaks expected midday before temperatures fall overnight, though minor revisions in the final runs could shift the exact high by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this evidence-based outlook ahead of real-time observations resolving the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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