Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on September 8, 2026, center on an overnight minimum near 7–9°C, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler air and conditions favoring radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Model consensus from sources such as GFS shows early-morning lows around 7–8°C, with limited cloud cover and dew points supporting efficient surface heat loss after sunset on the 7th. Slight divergences in predicted wind speeds and cloud timing differentiate the closely matched 5–9°C outcomes, while probabilities for 4°C or below remain lower given the air mass and seasonal norms near 9°C. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
7°C 28%
8°C 27%
5°C 27%
6°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
4°C or below
25%
5°C
27%
6°C
26%
7°C
28%
8°C
27%
9°C
23%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
7°C 28%
8°C 27%
5°C 27%
6°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Vol.
25%
5°C
$16 Vol.
27%
6°C
$5 Vol.
26%
7°C
$5 Vol.
28%
8°C
$9 Vol.
27%
9°C
$10 Vol.
23%
10°C
$200 Vol.
1%
11°C
$100 Vol.
1%
12°C
$250 Vol.
1%
13°C
$238 Vol.
1%
14°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on September 8, 2026, center on an overnight minimum near 7–9°C, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler air and conditions favoring radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Model consensus from sources such as GFS shows early-morning lows around 7–8°C, with limited cloud cover and dew points supporting efficient surface heat loss after sunset on the 7th. Slight divergences in predicted wind speeds and cloud timing differentiate the closely matched 5–9°C outcomes, while probabilities for 4°C or below remain lower given the air mass and seasonal norms near 9°C. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$894End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on September 8, 2026, center on an overnight minimum near 7–9°C, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler air and conditions favoring radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Model consensus from sources such as GFS shows early-morning lows around 7–8°C, with limited cloud cover and dew points supporting efficient surface heat loss after sunset on the 7th. Slight divergences in predicted wind speeds and cloud timing differentiate the closely matched 5–9°C outcomes, while probabilities for 4°C or below remain lower given the air mass and seasonal norms near 9°C. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$894End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on September 8, 2026, center on an overnight minimum near 7–9°C, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler air and conditions favoring radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Model consensus from sources such as GFS shows early-morning lows around 7–8°C, with limited cloud cover and dew points supporting efficient surface heat loss after sunset on the 7th. Slight divergences in predicted wind speeds and cloud timing differentiate the closely matched 5–9°C outcomes, while probabilities for 4°C or below remain lower given the air mass and seasonal norms near 9°C. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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