Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate project a Moscow high near 22–23 °C on 22 August 2026, aligning with the late-summer climatological average of 22 °C and supporting the market’s 44 % implied probability for 22 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are expected to moderate daytime heating while limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping the range tightly clustered around 21–23 °C. Recent model runs show no strong warm or cold advection, reinforcing trader consensus that outcomes outside this band remain low-probability. Updated forecasts released in the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution data for this short-term temperature market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
22°C 44%
21°C 23%
23°C 23%
20°C 5.8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
6%
21°C
23%
22°C
44%
23°C
23%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 44%
21°C 23%
23°C 23%
20°C 5.8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
17°C or below
$189 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$517 Vol.
6%
21°C
$728 Vol.
23%
22°C
$360 Vol.
44%
23°C
$556 Vol.
23%
24°C
$587 Vol.
5%
25°C
$302 Vol.
3%
26°C
$222 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate project a Moscow high near 22–23 °C on 22 August 2026, aligning with the late-summer climatological average of 22 °C and supporting the market’s 44 % implied probability for 22 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are expected to moderate daytime heating while limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping the range tightly clustered around 21–23 °C. Recent model runs show no strong warm or cold advection, reinforcing trader consensus that outcomes outside this band remain low-probability. Updated forecasts released in the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution data for this short-term temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,868End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate project a Moscow high near 22–23 °C on 22 August 2026, aligning with the late-summer climatological average of 22 °C and supporting the market’s 44 % implied probability for 22 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are expected to moderate daytime heating while limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping the range tightly clustered around 21–23 °C. Recent model runs show no strong warm or cold advection, reinforcing trader consensus that outcomes outside this band remain low-probability. Updated forecasts released in the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution data for this short-term temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,868End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate project a Moscow high near 22–23 °C on 22 August 2026, aligning with the late-summer climatological average of 22 °C and supporting the market’s 44 % implied probability for 22 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are expected to moderate daytime heating while limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping the range tightly clustered around 21–23 °C. Recent model runs show no strong warm or cold advection, reinforcing trader consensus that outcomes outside this band remain low-probability. Updated forecasts released in the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution data for this short-term temperature market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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