Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 22°C for Moscow on August 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where Moscow’s average high sits around 22°C amid transitional Atlantic air masses that limit extremes. Current guidance shows little model spread, keeping probabilities for 21°C or 23°C as secondary outcomes while suppressing tails below 20°C or above 24°C. Official measurements from the central Moscow station will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded, with any late-day clearing or wind shift as the main variable that could nudge the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
22°C 66%
21°C 19%
23°C 14%
24°C 3%
$15,570 Vol.
$15,570 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
19%
22°C
66%
23°C
14%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 66%
21°C 19%
23°C 14%
24°C 3%
$15,570 Vol.
$15,570 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$793 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$622 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,078 Vol.
2%
21°C
$2,078 Vol.
19%
22°C
$2,577 Vol.
66%
23°C
$4,738 Vol.
14%
24°C
$1,067 Vol.
3%
25°C
$542 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$830 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 22°C for Moscow on August 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where Moscow’s average high sits around 22°C amid transitional Atlantic air masses that limit extremes. Current guidance shows little model spread, keeping probabilities for 21°C or 23°C as secondary outcomes while suppressing tails below 20°C or above 24°C. Official measurements from the central Moscow station will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded, with any late-day clearing or wind shift as the main variable that could nudge the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,570End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 22°C for Moscow on August 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where Moscow’s average high sits around 22°C amid transitional Atlantic air masses that limit extremes. Current guidance shows little model spread, keeping probabilities for 21°C or 23°C as secondary outcomes while suppressing tails below 20°C or above 24°C. Official measurements from the central Moscow station will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded, with any late-day clearing or wind shift as the main variable that could nudge the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,570End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 22°C for Moscow on August 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology, where Moscow’s average high sits around 22°C amid transitional Atlantic air masses that limit extremes. Current guidance shows little model spread, keeping probabilities for 21°C or 23°C as secondary outcomes while suppressing tails below 20°C or above 24°C. Official measurements from the central Moscow station will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded, with any late-day clearing or wind shift as the main variable that could nudge the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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