Forecasts for Moscow on August 22 point to overnight lows near 12°C, driven by clear skies and light winds promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs around 23°C. Numerical models show a narrow range of 11–15°C for the daily minimum, with differences arising from variations in boundary-layer humidity, cloud timing, and local urban heat effects. The near-tie between 12°C and 13°C outcomes captures this model uncertainty, consistent with late-August climatology where Moscow’s average minimum hovers around 13°C. Updated runs from agencies such as Roshydromet will likely refine the exact value before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
16°C or higher 69%
6°C or below 50%
13°C 43%
9°C 40%
6°C or below
50%
7°C
25%
8°C
37%
9°C
40%
10°C
29%
11°C
39%
12°C
44%
13°C
43%
14°C
39%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
69%
16°C or higher 69%
6°C or below 50%
13°C 43%
9°C 40%
6°C or below
50%
7°C
25%
8°C
37%
9°C
40%
10°C
29%
11°C
39%
12°C
44%
13°C
43%
14°C
39%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Moscow on August 22 point to overnight lows near 12°C, driven by clear skies and light winds promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs around 23°C. Numerical models show a narrow range of 11–15°C for the daily minimum, with differences arising from variations in boundary-layer humidity, cloud timing, and local urban heat effects. The near-tie between 12°C and 13°C outcomes captures this model uncertainty, consistent with late-August climatology where Moscow’s average minimum hovers around 13°C. Updated runs from agencies such as Roshydromet will likely refine the exact value before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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