Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms in Chengdu, moderating peak heating amid high basin humidity and limiting diurnal temperature rise to the climatological average near 31–33°C. These factors create tight competition between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as even modest variations in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model consensus emphasizes suppressed warming from reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while historical August patterns show similar late-summer days rarely exceeding 34°C without clear skies. Updated official observations later today will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
32°C 37%
33°C 36%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
$39,120 Vol.
$39,120 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
13%
32°C
37%
33°C
36%
34°C
14%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 36%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
$39,120 Vol.
$39,120 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
26°C or below
$1,395 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,507 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,292 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,756 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,528 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,959 Vol.
13%
32°C
$5,201 Vol.
37%
33°C
$5,706 Vol.
36%
34°C
$4,819 Vol.
14%
35°C
$4,099 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$2,962 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms in Chengdu, moderating peak heating amid high basin humidity and limiting diurnal temperature rise to the climatological average near 31–33°C. These factors create tight competition between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as even modest variations in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model consensus emphasizes suppressed warming from reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while historical August patterns show similar late-summer days rarely exceeding 34°C without clear skies. Updated official observations later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$39,120End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms in Chengdu, moderating peak heating amid high basin humidity and limiting diurnal temperature rise to the climatological average near 31–33°C. These factors create tight competition between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as even modest variations in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model consensus emphasizes suppressed warming from reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while historical August patterns show similar late-summer days rarely exceeding 34°C without clear skies. Updated official observations later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,120End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms in Chengdu, moderating peak heating amid high basin humidity and limiting diurnal temperature rise to the climatological average near 31–33°C. These factors create tight competition between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as even modest variations in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model consensus emphasizes suppressed warming from reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while historical August patterns show similar late-summer days rarely exceeding 34°C without clear skies. Updated official observations later today will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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