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Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?

icon for Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?

Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

92-93°F 58%

90-91°F 32%

94-95°F 8%

88-89°F 4%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,292 Vol.

92-93°F 58%

90-91°F 32%

94-95°F 8%

88-89°F 4%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,292 Vol.

79°F or below

$596 Vol.

<1%

80-81°F

$739 Vol.

<1%

82-83°F

$510 Vol.

<1%

84-85°F

$1,197 Vol.

<1%

86-87°F

$627 Vol.

1%

88-89°F

$961 Vol.

4%

90-91°F

$3,149 Vol.

32%

92-93°F

$1,953 Vol.

58%

94-95°F

$843 Vol.

8%

96-97°F

$435 Vol.

1%

98°F or higher

$329 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place Miami’s high near 91°F on August 23 under mostly sunny skies with a 30% afternoon thunderstorm chance and southeast winds of 5–9 mph. This aligns with the climatological normal of 90.7°F while recent extreme heat—peaking at 100°F on August 18—has moderated as increased humidity and cloud cover develop. Heat-index values near 106°F reflect high moisture, yet scattered storms and sea-breeze effects could cap the maximum. Market-implied odds favoring 92–93°F (58%) over 90–91°F (31.5%) reflect trader weighting of model spread and the ongoing warm pattern, though official guidance and historical August analogs point to the lower-90s range as the most probable outcome ahead of afternoon updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,292
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place Miami’s high near 91°F on August 23 under mostly sunny skies with a 30% afternoon thunderstorm chance and southeast winds of 5–9 mph. This aligns with the climatological normal of 90.7°F while recent extreme heat—peaking at 100°F on August 18—has moderated as increased humidity and cloud cover develop. Heat-index values near 106°F reflect high moisture, yet scattered storms and sea-breeze effects could cap the maximum. Market-implied odds favoring 92–93°F (58%) over 90–91°F (31.5%) reflect trader weighting of model spread and the ongoing warm pattern, though official guidance and historical August analogs point to the lower-90s range as the most probable outcome ahead of afternoon updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,292
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "92-93°F" at 58%, followed by "90-91°F" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?" has generated $11.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?" is "92-93°F" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "90-91°F" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.