Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 92–93°F in Miami on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and mostly sunny conditions that favor strong daytime heating. Recent days have seen actual maxima of 92–94°F amid above-normal warmth across South Florida, consistent with August climatology where the normal high is 91°F and records exceed 95°F. Afternoon sea-breeze convection may develop but is expected to remain limited enough not to suppress the peak temperature significantly. Trader emphasis on the 92–93°F bin reflects this tight alignment between current guidance and observed trends, while narrower probabilities for 90–91°F or 94–95°F account for typical forecast uncertainty in timing of any cloud cover or showers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 15?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 15?
92-93°F 60%
90-91°F 18%
94-95°F 18%
88-89°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
60%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 60%
90-91°F 18%
94-95°F 18%
88-89°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
79°F or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$247 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$132 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$363 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$113 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$825 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$664 Vol.
18%
92-93°F
$2,761 Vol.
60%
94-95°F
$597 Vol.
18%
96-97°F
$101 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$1,570 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 92–93°F in Miami on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and mostly sunny conditions that favor strong daytime heating. Recent days have seen actual maxima of 92–94°F amid above-normal warmth across South Florida, consistent with August climatology where the normal high is 91°F and records exceed 95°F. Afternoon sea-breeze convection may develop but is expected to remain limited enough not to suppress the peak temperature significantly. Trader emphasis on the 92–93°F bin reflects this tight alignment between current guidance and observed trends, while narrower probabilities for 90–91°F or 94–95°F account for typical forecast uncertainty in timing of any cloud cover or showers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$7,493End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 92–93°F in Miami on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and mostly sunny conditions that favor strong daytime heating. Recent days have seen actual maxima of 92–94°F amid above-normal warmth across South Florida, consistent with August climatology where the normal high is 91°F and records exceed 95°F. Afternoon sea-breeze convection may develop but is expected to remain limited enough not to suppress the peak temperature significantly. Trader emphasis on the 92–93°F bin reflects this tight alignment between current guidance and observed trends, while narrower probabilities for 90–91°F or 94–95°F account for typical forecast uncertainty in timing of any cloud cover or showers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,493End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 92–93°F in Miami on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and mostly sunny conditions that favor strong daytime heating. Recent days have seen actual maxima of 92–94°F amid above-normal warmth across South Florida, consistent with August climatology where the normal high is 91°F and records exceed 95°F. Afternoon sea-breeze convection may develop but is expected to remain limited enough not to suppress the peak temperature significantly. Trader emphasis on the 92–93°F bin reflects this tight alignment between current guidance and observed trends, while narrower probabilities for 90–91°F or 94–95°F account for typical forecast uncertainty in timing of any cloud cover or showers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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