Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a persistent marine layer and weak coastal trough sustaining onshore flow and cloud cover over Los Angeles, which is suppressing daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature for August 15 near 74–77°F. This setup has produced below-normal highs around 73°F in recent days, well under the mid-August climatological average of approximately 84°F at downtown and airport stations. Model consensus shows only modest warming Saturday as the trough lingers, with limited clearing expected before the marine inversion redevelops overnight. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of continued stratus and cool advection against any potential for earlier erosion of the layer that could allow brief spikes into the upper 70s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 15?
76-77°F 54%
74-75°F 37%
78-79°F 6%
72-73°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 54%
74-75°F 37%
78-79°F 6%
72-73°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
65°F or below
$314 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$127 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$94 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$227 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$792 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$531 Vol.
37%
76-77°F
$1,401 Vol.
54%
78-79°F
$291 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$172 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$139 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$316 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a persistent marine layer and weak coastal trough sustaining onshore flow and cloud cover over Los Angeles, which is suppressing daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature for August 15 near 74–77°F. This setup has produced below-normal highs around 73°F in recent days, well under the mid-August climatological average of approximately 84°F at downtown and airport stations. Model consensus shows only modest warming Saturday as the trough lingers, with limited clearing expected before the marine inversion redevelops overnight. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of continued stratus and cool advection against any potential for earlier erosion of the layer that could allow brief spikes into the upper 70s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,405End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a persistent marine layer and weak coastal trough sustaining onshore flow and cloud cover over Los Angeles, which is suppressing daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature for August 15 near 74–77°F. This setup has produced below-normal highs around 73°F in recent days, well under the mid-August climatological average of approximately 84°F at downtown and airport stations. Model consensus shows only modest warming Saturday as the trough lingers, with limited clearing expected before the marine inversion redevelops overnight. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of continued stratus and cool advection against any potential for earlier erosion of the layer that could allow brief spikes into the upper 70s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,405End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a persistent marine layer and weak coastal trough sustaining onshore flow and cloud cover over Los Angeles, which is suppressing daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature for August 15 near 74–77°F. This setup has produced below-normal highs around 73°F in recent days, well under the mid-August climatological average of approximately 84°F at downtown and airport stations. Model consensus shows only modest warming Saturday as the trough lingers, with limited clearing expected before the marine inversion redevelops overnight. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of continued stratus and cool advection against any potential for earlier erosion of the layer that could allow brief spikes into the upper 70s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions