Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Karachi on August 14, driven by numerical weather prediction outputs from global and regional models that incorporate typical August monsoon conditions, including moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity levels near 70-80%, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com project daily maxima in the 30-32°C range (88-90°F), consistent with climatological averages for the period when monsoon dynamics suppress extreme heating. This market-implied probability above 90% reflects the convergence of current observational trends and model runs showing no significant deviation from baseline patterns. A sudden clearing of skies or weakening of onshore winds could allow temperatures to edge toward 33°C, though such shifts remain unlikely within the remaining forecast window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 14?
32°C 96%
33°C 4%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$23,760 Vol.
$23,760 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
96%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 96%
33°C 4%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$23,760 Vol.
$23,760 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
27°C or below
$456 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,365 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,004 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,190 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,758 Vol.
96%
33°C
$6,121 Vol.
4%
34°C
$1,790 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$567 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$468 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Karachi on August 14, driven by numerical weather prediction outputs from global and regional models that incorporate typical August monsoon conditions, including moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity levels near 70-80%, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com project daily maxima in the 30-32°C range (88-90°F), consistent with climatological averages for the period when monsoon dynamics suppress extreme heating. This market-implied probability above 90% reflects the convergence of current observational trends and model runs showing no significant deviation from baseline patterns. A sudden clearing of skies or weakening of onshore winds could allow temperatures to edge toward 33°C, though such shifts remain unlikely within the remaining forecast window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$23,760End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Karachi on August 14, driven by numerical weather prediction outputs from global and regional models that incorporate typical August monsoon conditions, including moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity levels near 70-80%, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com project daily maxima in the 30-32°C range (88-90°F), consistent with climatological averages for the period when monsoon dynamics suppress extreme heating. This market-implied probability above 90% reflects the convergence of current observational trends and model runs showing no significant deviation from baseline patterns. A sudden clearing of skies or weakening of onshore winds could allow temperatures to edge toward 33°C, though such shifts remain unlikely within the remaining forecast window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,760End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Karachi on August 14, driven by numerical weather prediction outputs from global and regional models that incorporate typical August monsoon conditions, including moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity levels near 70-80%, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com project daily maxima in the 30-32°C range (88-90°F), consistent with climatological averages for the period when monsoon dynamics suppress extreme heating. This market-implied probability above 90% reflects the convergence of current observational trends and model runs showing no significant deviation from baseline patterns. A sudden clearing of skies or weakening of onshore winds could allow temperatures to edge toward 33°C, though such shifts remain unlikely within the remaining forecast window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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