National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 15 project a high near 101°F under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and moderate southerly flow, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. This consensus from official models aligns with typical August climatology, where Dallas highs often reach the mid-90s to low 100s amid dry conditions that enhance daytime heating. Trader sentiment favors the 100-101°F bin at 48% implied probability, followed by 98-99°F, reflecting limited model spread and low odds of significant deviation from the expected range without unexpected moisture or cloud cover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 15?
100-101°F 48%
98-99°F 23%
102-103°F 21%
104-105°F 5%
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 48%
98-99°F 23%
102-103°F 21%
104-105°F 5%
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 15 project a high near 101°F under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and moderate southerly flow, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. This consensus from official models aligns with typical August climatology, where Dallas highs often reach the mid-90s to low 100s amid dry conditions that enhance daytime heating. Trader sentiment favors the 100-101°F bin at 48% implied probability, followed by 98-99°F, reflecting limited model spread and low odds of significant deviation from the expected range without unexpected moisture or cloud cover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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