Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and preliminary models point to partly cloudy conditions turning fine over Cape Town on August 15, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around the seasonal average of 17–18°C. This keeps the 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, with subtle differences driven by Atlantic wind strength, cloud-cover timing, and solar heating under a high-pressure ridge versus any lingering post-frontal moisture. Historical August data show daily highs rarely exceed 22°C or fall below 15°C in the absence of strong systems, underscoring why markets assign low probability to extremes. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 15?
19°C 31%
18°C 24%
20°C 21%
17°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
24%
19°C
31%
20°C
21%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 31%
18°C 24%
20°C 21%
17°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
14°C or below
$96 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$147 Vol.
1%
16°C
$432 Vol.
2%
17°C
$565 Vol.
12%
18°C
$512 Vol.
24%
19°C
$999 Vol.
31%
20°C
$1,133 Vol.
21%
21°C
$1,420 Vol.
8%
22°C
$831 Vol.
3%
23°C
$107 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$350 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and preliminary models point to partly cloudy conditions turning fine over Cape Town on August 15, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around the seasonal average of 17–18°C. This keeps the 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, with subtle differences driven by Atlantic wind strength, cloud-cover timing, and solar heating under a high-pressure ridge versus any lingering post-frontal moisture. Historical August data show daily highs rarely exceed 22°C or fall below 15°C in the absence of strong systems, underscoring why markets assign low probability to extremes. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6,592End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and preliminary models point to partly cloudy conditions turning fine over Cape Town on August 15, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around the seasonal average of 17–18°C. This keeps the 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, with subtle differences driven by Atlantic wind strength, cloud-cover timing, and solar heating under a high-pressure ridge versus any lingering post-frontal moisture. Historical August data show daily highs rarely exceed 22°C or fall below 15°C in the absence of strong systems, underscoring why markets assign low probability to extremes. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,592End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and preliminary models point to partly cloudy conditions turning fine over Cape Town on August 15, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around the seasonal average of 17–18°C. This keeps the 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, with subtle differences driven by Atlantic wind strength, cloud-cover timing, and solar heating under a high-pressure ridge versus any lingering post-frontal moisture. Historical August data show daily highs rarely exceed 22°C or fall below 15°C in the absence of strong systems, underscoring why markets assign low probability to extremes. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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