Current forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models favors a maximum of 31–32 °C in Busan on August 15 under persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow. This pattern supports afternoon warming while the coastal marine influence and potential for increased cloud cover or isolated showers introduce modest downside risk toward 30 °C. Recent early-August heatwave conditions have eased, with no strong signals for renewed extremes, keeping trader focus on these narrow thresholds. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated assessment of model spread, with the 31 °C and 32 °C bins capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 15?
31°C 48%
32°C 30%
30°C 17%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
48%
32°C
30%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
32°C 30%
30°C 17%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$975 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$634 Vol.
1%
29°C
$602 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,061 Vol.
17%
31°C
$1,501 Vol.
48%
32°C
$1,254 Vol.
30%
33°C
$851 Vol.
6%
34°C
$315 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$384 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models favors a maximum of 31–32 °C in Busan on August 15 under persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow. This pattern supports afternoon warming while the coastal marine influence and potential for increased cloud cover or isolated showers introduce modest downside risk toward 30 °C. Recent early-August heatwave conditions have eased, with no strong signals for renewed extremes, keeping trader focus on these narrow thresholds. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated assessment of model spread, with the 31 °C and 32 °C bins capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,059End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models favors a maximum of 31–32 °C in Busan on August 15 under persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow. This pattern supports afternoon warming while the coastal marine influence and potential for increased cloud cover or isolated showers introduce modest downside risk toward 30 °C. Recent early-August heatwave conditions have eased, with no strong signals for renewed extremes, keeping trader focus on these narrow thresholds. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated assessment of model spread, with the 31 °C and 32 °C bins capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,059End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models favors a maximum of 31–32 °C in Busan on August 15 under persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow. This pattern supports afternoon warming while the coastal marine influence and potential for increased cloud cover or isolated showers introduce modest downside risk toward 30 °C. Recent early-August heatwave conditions have eased, with no strong signals for renewed extremes, keeping trader focus on these narrow thresholds. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated assessment of model spread, with the 31 °C and 32 °C bins capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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