Winter climatology for Buenos Aires positions typical mid-August maximum temperatures near 17–18°C, directly supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and model consensus highlight a warming trend driven by moderate northerly winds, with forecasts pointing to a daily high between 13°C and 18°C on August 16. These conditions align with seasonal baselines from the South Atlantic high-pressure influence and limited cold-air advection from Patagonia, keeping probabilities for extremes below 3%. Traders are monitoring any late forecast adjustments from official agencies ahead of resolution, as small shifts in observed peak temperature could alter the narrow gap between the top two outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 16?
18°C 58%
19°C 28%
17°C 11%
16°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
11%
18°C
58%
19°C
28%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 58%
19°C 28%
17°C 11%
16°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
13°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$225 Vol.
3%
17°C
$266 Vol.
11%
18°C
$589 Vol.
58%
19°C
$269 Vol.
28%
20°C
$707 Vol.
3%
21°C
$88 Vol.
2%
22°C
$121 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$55 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Winter climatology for Buenos Aires positions typical mid-August maximum temperatures near 17–18°C, directly supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and model consensus highlight a warming trend driven by moderate northerly winds, with forecasts pointing to a daily high between 13°C and 18°C on August 16. These conditions align with seasonal baselines from the South Atlantic high-pressure influence and limited cold-air advection from Patagonia, keeping probabilities for extremes below 3%. Traders are monitoring any late forecast adjustments from official agencies ahead of resolution, as small shifts in observed peak temperature could alter the narrow gap between the top two outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$2,596End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Winter climatology for Buenos Aires positions typical mid-August maximum temperatures near 17–18°C, directly supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and model consensus highlight a warming trend driven by moderate northerly winds, with forecasts pointing to a daily high between 13°C and 18°C on August 16. These conditions align with seasonal baselines from the South Atlantic high-pressure influence and limited cold-air advection from Patagonia, keeping probabilities for extremes below 3%. Traders are monitoring any late forecast adjustments from official agencies ahead of resolution, as small shifts in observed peak temperature could alter the narrow gap between the top two outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,596End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Winter climatology for Buenos Aires positions typical mid-August maximum temperatures near 17–18°C, directly supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and model consensus highlight a warming trend driven by moderate northerly winds, with forecasts pointing to a daily high between 13°C and 18°C on August 16. These conditions align with seasonal baselines from the South Atlantic high-pressure influence and limited cold-air advection from Patagonia, keeping probabilities for extremes below 3%. Traders are monitoring any late forecast adjustments from official agencies ahead of resolution, as small shifts in observed peak temperature could alter the narrow gap between the top two outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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