**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15 centers on 15–17°C because short-range model guidance and climatology converge on mild winter conditions.** August averages place daytime highs near 15–17°C (59–63°F), with recent observations showing temperatures running slightly above normal but still moderated by persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. Official extended forecasts indicate an overcast day with a high around 15°C, limiting solar heating and keeping readings near seasonal norms rather than pushing toward warmer outliers. Easterly or southeasterly flow off the Atlantic further caps any rapid warming. With resolution tied to the official daily maximum from the Buenos Aires observation network, the tight clustering of probabilities around 15–16°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky conditions that could elevate readings into the upper teens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
16°C 41%
15°C 22%
17°C 20%
18°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
22%
16°C
41%
17°C
20%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 41%
15°C 22%
17°C 20%
18°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
$145 Vol.
1%
13°C
$357 Vol.
3%
14°C
$91 Vol.
5%
15°C
$913 Vol.
22%
16°C
$2,909 Vol.
41%
17°C
$295 Vol.
20%
18°C
$21 Vol.
6%
19°C
$68 Vol.
2%
20°C
$115 Vol.
1%
21°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15 centers on 15–17°C because short-range model guidance and climatology converge on mild winter conditions.** August averages place daytime highs near 15–17°C (59–63°F), with recent observations showing temperatures running slightly above normal but still moderated by persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. Official extended forecasts indicate an overcast day with a high around 15°C, limiting solar heating and keeping readings near seasonal norms rather than pushing toward warmer outliers. Easterly or southeasterly flow off the Atlantic further caps any rapid warming. With resolution tied to the official daily maximum from the Buenos Aires observation network, the tight clustering of probabilities around 15–16°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky conditions that could elevate readings into the upper teens.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$4,804End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15 centers on 15–17°C because short-range model guidance and climatology converge on mild winter conditions.** August averages place daytime highs near 15–17°C (59–63°F), with recent observations showing temperatures running slightly above normal but still moderated by persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. Official extended forecasts indicate an overcast day with a high around 15°C, limiting solar heating and keeping readings near seasonal norms rather than pushing toward warmer outliers. Easterly or southeasterly flow off the Atlantic further caps any rapid warming. With resolution tied to the official daily maximum from the Buenos Aires observation network, the tight clustering of probabilities around 15–16°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky conditions that could elevate readings into the upper teens.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,804End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15 centers on 15–17°C because short-range model guidance and climatology converge on mild winter conditions.** August averages place daytime highs near 15–17°C (59–63°F), with recent observations showing temperatures running slightly above normal but still moderated by persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. Official extended forecasts indicate an overcast day with a high around 15°C, limiting solar heating and keeping readings near seasonal norms rather than pushing toward warmer outliers. Easterly or southeasterly flow off the Atlantic further caps any rapid warming. With resolution tied to the official daily maximum from the Buenos Aires observation network, the tight clustering of probabilities around 15–16°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky conditions that could elevate readings into the upper teens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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