Mt. Washington’s extreme exposure at 6,288 feet, combined with frequent passage of mid-latitude cyclones and strong pressure gradients, routinely produces August gusts exceeding 90 mph despite lower seasonal averages than winter. Observatory data through mid-August 2026 show only modest sustained winds (13–50 mph) and peak gusts near 55–67 mph, well below the 147 mph historical August maximum recorded in 2020. Traders assign near-certain implied probabilities (>98%) to outcomes of ≥90 mph or higher because remaining days allow time for typical frontal systems or convective events to deliver qualifying gusts before month-end resolution. Key upcoming drivers include updated NOAA and NWS higher-summits forecasts plus real-time anemometer readings from the Mount Washington Observatory, which define the official peak gust using standardized instrumentation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?
Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
≥85 mph
98%
≥90 mph
99%
≥95 mph
99%
≥100 mph
99%
≥105 mph
97%
≥110 mph
46%
≥115 mph
41%
$3,503 Vol.
≥85 mph
$467 Vol.
98%
≥90 mph
$760 Vol.
99%
≥95 mph
$718 Vol.
99%
≥100 mph
$1,065 Vol.
99%
≥105 mph
$381 Vol.
97%
≥110 mph
$51 Vol.
46%
≥115 mph
$60 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mt. Washington’s extreme exposure at 6,288 feet, combined with frequent passage of mid-latitude cyclones and strong pressure gradients, routinely produces August gusts exceeding 90 mph despite lower seasonal averages than winter. Observatory data through mid-August 2026 show only modest sustained winds (13–50 mph) and peak gusts near 55–67 mph, well below the 147 mph historical August maximum recorded in 2020. Traders assign near-certain implied probabilities (>98%) to outcomes of ≥90 mph or higher because remaining days allow time for typical frontal systems or convective events to deliver qualifying gusts before month-end resolution. Key upcoming drivers include updated NOAA and NWS higher-summits forecasts plus real-time anemometer readings from the Mount Washington Observatory, which define the official peak gust using standardized instrumentation.
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
Volume
$3,503End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mt. Washington’s extreme exposure at 6,288 feet, combined with frequent passage of mid-latitude cyclones and strong pressure gradients, routinely produces August gusts exceeding 90 mph despite lower seasonal averages than winter. Observatory data through mid-August 2026 show only modest sustained winds (13–50 mph) and peak gusts near 55–67 mph, well below the 147 mph historical August maximum recorded in 2020. Traders assign near-certain implied probabilities (>98%) to outcomes of ≥90 mph or higher because remaining days allow time for typical frontal systems or convective events to deliver qualifying gusts before month-end resolution. Key upcoming drivers include updated NOAA and NWS higher-summits forecasts plus real-time anemometer readings from the Mount Washington Observatory, which define the official peak gust using standardized instrumentation.
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,503End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mt. Washington’s extreme exposure at 6,288 feet, combined with frequent passage of mid-latitude cyclones and strong pressure gradients, routinely produces August gusts exceeding 90 mph despite lower seasonal averages than winter. Observatory data through mid-August 2026 show only modest sustained winds (13–50 mph) and peak gusts near 55–67 mph, well below the 147 mph historical August maximum recorded in 2020. Traders assign near-certain implied probabilities (>98%) to outcomes of ≥90 mph or higher because remaining days allow time for typical frontal systems or convective events to deliver qualifying gusts before month-end resolution. Key upcoming drivers include updated NOAA and NWS higher-summits forecasts plus real-time anemometer readings from the Mount Washington Observatory, which define the official peak gust using standardized instrumentation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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