Recent Eurozone HICP data showing a July 2026 reading of 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June, has reinforced trader positioning toward the 3.1%+ annual outcome at 59.9% implied probability, driven primarily by energy inflation surging to 10.0% amid renewed geopolitical pressures. Sticky services inflation near 3.3% and core measures at 2.5% further support expectations that the full-year average will exceed 3.0%, outweighing the June de-escalation in Middle East tensions that eased some near-term oil prices. Professional forecasters in the ECB’s Q3 Survey project 2.7% for 2026, yet the market-implied distribution—with the 2.8–3.0% band at just 16.4%—reflects ongoing uncertainty over persistent input costs and limited pass-through relief. Key upcoming releases, including August inflation figures and the September ECB policy decision, will test whether these pressures moderate or sustain the elevated path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 59.9%
2.8-3.0% 16.4%
<1.0% 7.8%
1.6–1.8% 6.8%
$104,821 Vol.
$104,821 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
8%
1.0–1.2%
3%
1.3–1.5%
1%
1.6–1.8%
7%
1.9–2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
6%
2.5–2.7%
7%
2.8-3.0%
16%
3.1%+
60%
3.1%+ 59.9%
2.8-3.0% 16.4%
<1.0% 7.8%
1.6–1.8% 6.8%
$104,821 Vol.
$104,821 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$4,299 Vol.
8%
1.0–1.2%
$16,089 Vol.
3%
1.3–1.5%
$16,210 Vol.
1%
1.6–1.8%
$3,303 Vol.
7%
1.9–2.1%
$25,461 Vol.
1%
2.2–2.4%
$4,216 Vol.
6%
2.5–2.7%
$7,289 Vol.
7%
2.8-3.0%
$16,499 Vol.
16%
3.1%+
$11,455 Vol.
60%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent Eurozone HICP data showing a July 2026 reading of 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June, has reinforced trader positioning toward the 3.1%+ annual outcome at 59.9% implied probability, driven primarily by energy inflation surging to 10.0% amid renewed geopolitical pressures. Sticky services inflation near 3.3% and core measures at 2.5% further support expectations that the full-year average will exceed 3.0%, outweighing the June de-escalation in Middle East tensions that eased some near-term oil prices. Professional forecasters in the ECB’s Q3 Survey project 2.7% for 2026, yet the market-implied distribution—with the 2.8–3.0% band at just 16.4%—reflects ongoing uncertainty over persistent input costs and limited pass-through relief. Key upcoming releases, including August inflation figures and the September ECB policy decision, will test whether these pressures moderate or sustain the elevated path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$104,821End Date
Jan 19, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent Eurozone HICP data showing a July 2026 reading of 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June, has reinforced trader positioning toward the 3.1%+ annual outcome at 59.9% implied probability, driven primarily by energy inflation surging to 10.0% amid renewed geopolitical pressures. Sticky services inflation near 3.3% and core measures at 2.5% further support expectations that the full-year average will exceed 3.0%, outweighing the June de-escalation in Middle East tensions that eased some near-term oil prices. Professional forecasters in the ECB’s Q3 Survey project 2.7% for 2026, yet the market-implied distribution—with the 2.8–3.0% band at just 16.4%—reflects ongoing uncertainty over persistent input costs and limited pass-through relief. Key upcoming releases, including August inflation figures and the September ECB policy decision, will test whether these pressures moderate or sustain the elevated path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$104,821End Date
Jan 19, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Eurozone HICP data showing a July 2026 reading of 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June, has reinforced trader positioning toward the 3.1%+ annual outcome at 59.9% implied probability, driven primarily by energy inflation surging to 10.0% amid renewed geopolitical pressures. Sticky services inflation near 3.3% and core measures at 2.5% further support expectations that the full-year average will exceed 3.0%, outweighing the June de-escalation in Middle East tensions that eased some near-term oil prices. Professional forecasters in the ECB’s Q3 Survey project 2.7% for 2026, yet the market-implied distribution—with the 2.8–3.0% band at just 16.4%—reflects ongoing uncertainty over persistent input costs and limited pass-through relief. Key upcoming releases, including August inflation figures and the September ECB policy decision, will test whether these pressures moderate or sustain the elevated path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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