Elon Musk’s posting pace on X, averaging roughly 21–25 tweets daily through mid-August amid routine xAI and Tesla updates, anchors trader consensus in the 780–919 range for the full month. Steady engagement on Grok model rankings, platform tools, and industry commentary has sustained this baseline without the spikes tied to major product launches, regulatory news, or external controversies that historically push daily volumes higher. With the month roughly halfway complete and no imminent events expected to disrupt the current cadence, markets show tight clustering across adjacent brackets, reflecting uncertainty over whether routine replies and selective commentary will hold or moderate in the final weeks. Historical patterns of occasional quiet stretches or late-month bursts from breaking developments keep probabilities distributed rather than concentrated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated780-799 11.9%
800-839 11.0%
840-879 10.8%
880-919 10%
$117,000 Vol.
$117,000 Vol.
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
2%
620-639
2%
640-659
4%
660-679
5%
680-699
7%
700-719
6%
720-739
8%
740-759
9%
760-779
9%
780-799
12%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
10%
920-959
7%
960-999
3%
1000+
7%
780-799 11.9%
800-839 11.0%
840-879 10.8%
880-919 10%
$117,000 Vol.
$117,000 Vol.
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
2%
620-639
2%
640-659
4%
660-679
5%
680-699
7%
700-719
6%
720-739
8%
740-759
9%
760-779
9%
780-799
12%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
10%
920-959
7%
960-999
3%
1000+
7%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace on X, averaging roughly 21–25 tweets daily through mid-August amid routine xAI and Tesla updates, anchors trader consensus in the 780–919 range for the full month. Steady engagement on Grok model rankings, platform tools, and industry commentary has sustained this baseline without the spikes tied to major product launches, regulatory news, or external controversies that historically push daily volumes higher. With the month roughly halfway complete and no imminent events expected to disrupt the current cadence, markets show tight clustering across adjacent brackets, reflecting uncertainty over whether routine replies and selective commentary will hold or moderate in the final weeks. Historical patterns of occasional quiet stretches or late-month bursts from breaking developments keep probabilities distributed rather than concentrated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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