Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume over August 20-22 centers on his well-documented high-engagement posting cadence on X, where the 40-64 range edges out 65-89 as the market favorite amid closely contested probabilities. Recent patterns show steady daily output driven by Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and real-time cultural commentary, tempered by typical weekend moderation. The tight spread between frontrunners underscores uncertainty around potential catalysts like breaking industry news or viral threads that could accelerate activity, versus quieter stretches without major announcements. Traders factor in his history of fluctuating intensity based on business cycles and public discourse, recognizing that last-minute developments could easily shift resolution within these narrow buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 40%
65-89 32%
<40 14.5%
90-114 12.4%
$54,606 Vol.
$54,606 Vol.
<40
15%
40-64
40%
65-89
32%
90-114
12%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 40%
65-89 32%
<40 14.5%
90-114 12.4%
$54,606 Vol.
$54,606 Vol.
<40
15%
40-64
40%
65-89
32%
90-114
12%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume over August 20-22 centers on his well-documented high-engagement posting cadence on X, where the 40-64 range edges out 65-89 as the market favorite amid closely contested probabilities. Recent patterns show steady daily output driven by Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and real-time cultural commentary, tempered by typical weekend moderation. The tight spread between frontrunners underscores uncertainty around potential catalysts like breaking industry news or viral threads that could accelerate activity, versus quieter stretches without major announcements. Traders factor in his history of fluctuating intensity based on business cycles and public discourse, recognizing that last-minute developments could easily shift resolution within these narrow buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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