Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader because Elon Musk’s recent baseline activity hovers around 15-20 posts daily when no major launches or controversies dominate his feed. The three-day window falls mid-week into the weekend, a period that historically shows moderated volume absent breaking company news. SpaceX’s scheduled Starlink missions around August 20 offer a modest catalyst that could nudge totals higher, yet nothing on the scale of a product unveil or earnings call appears imminent to push into the 90-plus buckets. Market-implied odds reflect this steady-state expectation, with the 65-89 range as a plausible upside if routine Tesla or xAI commentary spikes engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 44%
65-89 31%
<40 12.7%
90-114 11%
$12,521 Vol.
$12,521 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
<40
13%
40-64
44%
65-89
31%
90-114
11%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 44%
65-89 31%
<40 12.7%
90-114 11%
$12,521 Vol.
$12,521 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
<40
$983 Vol.
13%
40-64
$978 Vol.
44%
65-89
$907 Vol.
31%
90-114
$232 Vol.
11%
115-139
$961 Vol.
3%
140-164
$3,125 Vol.
1%
165-189
$2,135 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,030 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$35 Vol.
<1%
240+
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader because Elon Musk’s recent baseline activity hovers around 15-20 posts daily when no major launches or controversies dominate his feed. The three-day window falls mid-week into the weekend, a period that historically shows moderated volume absent breaking company news. SpaceX’s scheduled Starlink missions around August 20 offer a modest catalyst that could nudge totals higher, yet nothing on the scale of a product unveil or earnings call appears imminent to push into the 90-plus buckets. Market-implied odds reflect this steady-state expectation, with the 65-89 range as a plausible upside if routine Tesla or xAI commentary spikes engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$12,521End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader because Elon Musk’s recent baseline activity hovers around 15-20 posts daily when no major launches or controversies dominate his feed. The three-day window falls mid-week into the weekend, a period that historically shows moderated volume absent breaking company news. SpaceX’s scheduled Starlink missions around August 20 offer a modest catalyst that could nudge totals higher, yet nothing on the scale of a product unveil or earnings call appears imminent to push into the 90-plus buckets. Market-implied odds reflect this steady-state expectation, with the 65-89 range as a plausible upside if routine Tesla or xAI commentary spikes engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$12,521End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader because Elon Musk’s recent baseline activity hovers around 15-20 posts daily when no major launches or controversies dominate his feed. The three-day window falls mid-week into the weekend, a period that historically shows moderated volume absent breaking company news. SpaceX’s scheduled Starlink missions around August 20 offer a modest catalyst that could nudge totals higher, yet nothing on the scale of a product unveil or earnings call appears imminent to push into the 90-plus buckets. Market-implied odds reflect this steady-state expectation, with the 65-89 range as a plausible upside if routine Tesla or xAI commentary spikes engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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