Trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 15-17 reflects his established posting cadence of roughly 15-25 posts per day in recent weeks, absent major breaking news or high-stakes events that typically drive spikes. Recent days have shown steady engagement around Tesla updates, SpaceX commentary, and platform interactions without the volume surges seen during product launches or political flashpoints. The adjacent 65-89 and sub-40 brackets capture the realistic variance from weekend slowdowns or minor catalysts, while the slim odds on 90+ outcomes align with historical precedent that only extraordinary circumstances push totals that high over a short window. No confirmed announcements or external factors are poised to shift the current equilibrium before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 50%
65-89 24%
<40 23%
90-114 4.7%
NEW
$19,589 Vol.
NEW
$19,589 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
23%
40-64
50%
65-89
24%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 24%
<40 23%
90-114 4.7%
NEW
$19,589 Vol.
NEW
$19,589 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
$1,021 Vol.
23%
40-64
$1,805 Vol.
50%
65-89
$2,230 Vol.
24%
90-114
$6,591 Vol.
5%
115-139
$3,799 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,269 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,507 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$449 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$466 Vol.
<1%
240+
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 15-17 reflects his established posting cadence of roughly 15-25 posts per day in recent weeks, absent major breaking news or high-stakes events that typically drive spikes. Recent days have shown steady engagement around Tesla updates, SpaceX commentary, and platform interactions without the volume surges seen during product launches or political flashpoints. The adjacent 65-89 and sub-40 brackets capture the realistic variance from weekend slowdowns or minor catalysts, while the slim odds on 90+ outcomes align with historical precedent that only extraordinary circumstances push totals that high over a short window. No confirmed announcements or external factors are poised to shift the current equilibrium before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$19,589End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 15-17 reflects his established posting cadence of roughly 15-25 posts per day in recent weeks, absent major breaking news or high-stakes events that typically drive spikes. Recent days have shown steady engagement around Tesla updates, SpaceX commentary, and platform interactions without the volume surges seen during product launches or political flashpoints. The adjacent 65-89 and sub-40 brackets capture the realistic variance from weekend slowdowns or minor catalysts, while the slim odds on 90+ outcomes align with historical precedent that only extraordinary circumstances push totals that high over a short window. No confirmed announcements or external factors are poised to shift the current equilibrium before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$19,589End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 15-17 reflects his established posting cadence of roughly 15-25 posts per day in recent weeks, absent major breaking news or high-stakes events that typically drive spikes. Recent days have shown steady engagement around Tesla updates, SpaceX commentary, and platform interactions without the volume surges seen during product launches or political flashpoints. The adjacent 65-89 and sub-40 brackets capture the realistic variance from weekend slowdowns or minor catalysts, while the slim odds on 90+ outcomes align with historical precedent that only extraordinary circumstances push totals that high over a short window. No confirmed announcements or external factors are poised to shift the current equilibrium before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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