Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X—often 20–30 updates daily when focused on product announcements, AI benchmarks, and company news—anchors trader sentiment around the 65-89 tweet bracket for the August 13-15 window. Recent activity promoting Grok 4.6 multimodal capabilities, CursorBench rankings, and xAI efficiency gains has sustained steady engagement without the spikes tied to major launches or regulatory drama. With the period still unfolding and no overriding catalysts like earnings or policy shifts, markets price the mid-range outcome highest while leaving room for modest variance from replies or live streams. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme volume reinforce this consensus among traders tracking his feed in real time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 56%
90-114 23.6%
40-64 17%
115-139 3.0%
$270,829 Vol.
$270,829 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
40-64
17%
65-89
56%
90-114
24%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 56%
90-114 23.6%
40-64 17%
115-139 3.0%
$270,829 Vol.
$270,829 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
40-64
$42,163 Vol.
17%
65-89
$35,779 Vol.
56%
90-114
$42,127 Vol.
24%
115-139
$28,468 Vol.
3%
140-164
$20,245 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$19,573 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$5,952 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,949 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X—often 20–30 updates daily when focused on product announcements, AI benchmarks, and company news—anchors trader sentiment around the 65-89 tweet bracket for the August 13-15 window. Recent activity promoting Grok 4.6 multimodal capabilities, CursorBench rankings, and xAI efficiency gains has sustained steady engagement without the spikes tied to major launches or regulatory drama. With the period still unfolding and no overriding catalysts like earnings or policy shifts, markets price the mid-range outcome highest while leaving room for modest variance from replies or live streams. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme volume reinforce this consensus among traders tracking his feed in real time.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$270,829End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X—often 20–30 updates daily when focused on product announcements, AI benchmarks, and company news—anchors trader sentiment around the 65-89 tweet bracket for the August 13-15 window. Recent activity promoting Grok 4.6 multimodal capabilities, CursorBench rankings, and xAI efficiency gains has sustained steady engagement without the spikes tied to major launches or regulatory drama. With the period still unfolding and no overriding catalysts like earnings or policy shifts, markets price the mid-range outcome highest while leaving room for modest variance from replies or live streams. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme volume reinforce this consensus among traders tracking his feed in real time.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$270,829End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X—often 20–30 updates daily when focused on product announcements, AI benchmarks, and company news—anchors trader sentiment around the 65-89 tweet bracket for the August 13-15 window. Recent activity promoting Grok 4.6 multimodal capabilities, CursorBench rankings, and xAI efficiency gains has sustained steady engagement without the spikes tied to major launches or regulatory drama. With the period still unfolding and no overriding catalysts like earnings or policy shifts, markets price the mid-range outcome highest while leaving room for modest variance from replies or live streams. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme volume reinforce this consensus among traders tracking his feed in real time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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