Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week, averaging roughly 25–30 tweets daily amid ongoing SpaceX and xAI updates, has anchored trader sentiment around the 180–219 range. His habit of real-time commentary on platform policy, product launches, and cultural debates creates steady volume, while quieter stretches or major news spikes can swing totals by 20–40 posts. With the Aug 11–18 window now more than halfway complete and no singular high-profile catalyst like a Starship flight or policy announcement dominating the feed, the closely matched 200–219 (28.5%) and 180–199 (26.5%) brackets reflect expectations of continued baseline activity tempered by typical weekend moderation. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week business or political developments remain the key swing factors for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 29%
180-199 27%
220-239 20%
160-179 14%
$837,317 Vol.
$837,317 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
2%
160-179
14%
180-199
27%
200-219
29%
220-239
20%
240-259
7%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 29%
180-199 27%
220-239 20%
160-179 14%
$837,317 Vol.
$837,317 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
100-119
$61,450 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$80,295 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$62,571 Vol.
2%
160-179
$65,457 Vol.
14%
180-199
$47,395 Vol.
27%
200-219
$27,256 Vol.
29%
220-239
$18,397 Vol.
20%
240-259
$30,467 Vol.
7%
260-279
$42,277 Vol.
2%
280-299
$41,319 Vol.
1%
300-319
$42,495 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$27,171 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$30,270 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$29,969 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$25,087 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$22,118 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$15,300 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$15,044 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,196 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
500+
$43,869 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week, averaging roughly 25–30 tweets daily amid ongoing SpaceX and xAI updates, has anchored trader sentiment around the 180–219 range. His habit of real-time commentary on platform policy, product launches, and cultural debates creates steady volume, while quieter stretches or major news spikes can swing totals by 20–40 posts. With the Aug 11–18 window now more than halfway complete and no singular high-profile catalyst like a Starship flight or policy announcement dominating the feed, the closely matched 200–219 (28.5%) and 180–199 (26.5%) brackets reflect expectations of continued baseline activity tempered by typical weekend moderation. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week business or political developments remain the key swing factors for final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$837,317End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week, averaging roughly 25–30 tweets daily amid ongoing SpaceX and xAI updates, has anchored trader sentiment around the 180–219 range. His habit of real-time commentary on platform policy, product launches, and cultural debates creates steady volume, while quieter stretches or major news spikes can swing totals by 20–40 posts. With the Aug 11–18 window now more than halfway complete and no singular high-profile catalyst like a Starship flight or policy announcement dominating the feed, the closely matched 200–219 (28.5%) and 180–199 (26.5%) brackets reflect expectations of continued baseline activity tempered by typical weekend moderation. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week business or political developments remain the key swing factors for final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$837,317End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week, averaging roughly 25–30 tweets daily amid ongoing SpaceX and xAI updates, has anchored trader sentiment around the 180–219 range. His habit of real-time commentary on platform policy, product launches, and cultural debates creates steady volume, while quieter stretches or major news spikes can swing totals by 20–40 posts. With the Aug 11–18 window now more than halfway complete and no singular high-profile catalyst like a Starship flight or policy announcement dominating the feed, the closely matched 200–219 (28.5%) and 180–199 (26.5%) brackets reflect expectations of continued baseline activity tempered by typical weekend moderation. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week business or political developments remain the key swing factors for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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