The closely contested 50% implied probability for an "Up" close on the Gengar (Cosmos Holo) EB Games Exclusive reflects a tug-of-war between strong collector interest in the 2026 Perfect Order promo and softer realized sales data. TCGPlayer listings hover near the $184.84 resolution threshold with recent transactions around $190, buoyed by Gengar's enduring popularity and the card's distinctive cosmos holo pattern, yet eBay comps for raw copies have clustered lower in the $126–$144 range amid broader promo supply. Limited EB Games distribution creates scarcity-driven upside potential, but thin trading volume and typical end-of-month volatility keep sentiment balanced. Fresh sales reports or secondary market spikes through late August could decisively shift momentum ahead of the August 31 cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive Price Up/Down on August 31?
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This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 50% implied probability for an "Up" close on the Gengar (Cosmos Holo) EB Games Exclusive reflects a tug-of-war between strong collector interest in the 2026 Perfect Order promo and softer realized sales data. TCGPlayer listings hover near the $184.84 resolution threshold with recent transactions around $190, buoyed by Gengar's enduring popularity and the card's distinctive cosmos holo pattern, yet eBay comps for raw copies have clustered lower in the $126–$144 range amid broader promo supply. Limited EB Games distribution creates scarcity-driven upside potential, but thin trading volume and typical end-of-month volatility keep sentiment balanced. Fresh sales reports or secondary market spikes through late August could decisively shift momentum ahead of the August 31 cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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