Elizabeth Roy, the incumbent mayor of Whitby, Ontario, holds the strongest position in the October 26, 2026 municipal election, with traders assigning her an 80.5% implied probability. She secured the role in 2022 by defeating Deirdre Newman and has maintained visibility through official statements on housing incentives, transit planning, tariffs, and homelessness initiatives. Her main challengers are Regional Councillor Chris Leahy at 12% and Harshini Rajmohan at 10%, following the final certified candidate list released in late August that confirmed only these three contenders. Leahy’s prior code-of-conduct issues and longstanding council tensions with Roy appear to limit his momentum, while Rajmohan remains lesser-known. The race features standard incumbency advantages in a low-profile local contest, with no major late developments shifting the consensus in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhitby, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Whitby, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Elizabeth Roy 81%
Chris Leahy 12%
Harshini Rajmohan 10%
NEW
NEW
Oct 25, 2026
Elizabeth Roy
81%
Chris Leahy
12%
Harshini Rajmohan
10%
Elizabeth Roy 81%
Chris Leahy 12%
Harshini Rajmohan 10%
NEW
NEW
Oct 25, 2026
Elizabeth Roy
$506 Vol.
81%
Chris Leahy
$60 Vol.
12%
Harshini Rajmohan
$40 Vol.
10%
The 2026 Whitby, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Whitby, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Whitby, Ontario.Elizabeth Roy, the incumbent mayor of Whitby, Ontario, holds the strongest position in the October 26, 2026 municipal election, with traders assigning her an 80.5% implied probability. She secured the role in 2022 by defeating Deirdre Newman and has maintained visibility through official statements on housing incentives, transit planning, tariffs, and homelessness initiatives. Her main challengers are Regional Councillor Chris Leahy at 12% and Harshini Rajmohan at 10%, following the final certified candidate list released in late August that confirmed only these three contenders. Leahy’s prior code-of-conduct issues and longstanding council tensions with Roy appear to limit his momentum, while Rajmohan remains lesser-known. The race features standard incumbency advantages in a low-profile local contest, with no major late developments shifting the consensus in the past month.
The 2026 Whitby, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Whitby, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Whitby, Ontario.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Whitby, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Whitby, Ontario.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
Volume
$606End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Whitby, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Whitby, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Whitby, Ontario.Elizabeth Roy, the incumbent mayor of Whitby, Ontario, holds the strongest position in the October 26, 2026 municipal election, with traders assigning her an 80.5% implied probability. She secured the role in 2022 by defeating Deirdre Newman and has maintained visibility through official statements on housing incentives, transit planning, tariffs, and homelessness initiatives. Her main challengers are Regional Councillor Chris Leahy at 12% and Harshini Rajmohan at 10%, following the final certified candidate list released in late August that confirmed only these three contenders. Leahy’s prior code-of-conduct issues and longstanding council tensions with Roy appear to limit his momentum, while Rajmohan remains lesser-known. The race features standard incumbency advantages in a low-profile local contest, with no major late developments shifting the consensus in the past month.
The 2026 Whitby, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Whitby, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Whitby, Ontario.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Whitby, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Whitby, Ontario.
Volume
$606End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elizabeth Roy, the incumbent mayor of Whitby, Ontario, holds the strongest position in the October 26, 2026 municipal election, with traders assigning her an 80.5% implied probability. She secured the role in 2022 by defeating Deirdre Newman and has maintained visibility through official statements on housing incentives, transit planning, tariffs, and homelessness initiatives. Her main challengers are Regional Councillor Chris Leahy at 12% and Harshini Rajmohan at 10%, following the final certified candidate list released in late August that confirmed only these three contenders. Leahy’s prior code-of-conduct issues and longstanding council tensions with Roy appear to limit his momentum, while Rajmohan remains lesser-known. The race features standard incumbency advantages in a low-profile local contest, with no major late developments shifting the consensus in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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