Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show the joint Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list receiving around five seats, placing its projected vote share near or slightly above the 3.25% electoral threshold. The merger, finalized in early September, was driven by concerns that separate runs would leave the parties below the threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s People of Israel slate and Otzma Yehudit for overlapping nationalist and religious voters. Persistent uncertainty stems from high undecided rates near 11%, variable turnout among right-wing blocs, and fluctuating support for the broader Netanyahu-aligned parties. Trader prices reflect this narrow band of outcomes, with separation likely hinging on final-week mobilization, any additional technical alliances, or shifts in voter preference among religious Zionist constituencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<3.25% 44%
6%+ 44%
4-5% 43%
5-6% 42%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<3.25%
44%
3.25-4%
41%
4-5%
43%
5-6%
42%
6%+
44%
<3.25% 44%
6%+ 44%
4-5% 43%
5-6% 42%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<3.25%
$0 Vol.
44%
3.25-4%
$0 Vol.
41%
4-5%
$0 Vol.
43%
5-6%
$0 Vol.
42%
6%+
$0 Vol.
44%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show the joint Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list receiving around five seats, placing its projected vote share near or slightly above the 3.25% electoral threshold. The merger, finalized in early September, was driven by concerns that separate runs would leave the parties below the threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s People of Israel slate and Otzma Yehudit for overlapping nationalist and religious voters. Persistent uncertainty stems from high undecided rates near 11%, variable turnout among right-wing blocs, and fluctuating support for the broader Netanyahu-aligned parties. Trader prices reflect this narrow band of outcomes, with separation likely hinging on final-week mobilization, any additional technical alliances, or shifts in voter preference among religious Zionist constituencies.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show the joint Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list receiving around five seats, placing its projected vote share near or slightly above the 3.25% electoral threshold. The merger, finalized in early September, was driven by concerns that separate runs would leave the parties below the threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s People of Israel slate and Otzma Yehudit for overlapping nationalist and religious voters. Persistent uncertainty stems from high undecided rates near 11%, variable turnout among right-wing blocs, and fluctuating support for the broader Netanyahu-aligned parties. Trader prices reflect this narrow band of outcomes, with separation likely hinging on final-week mobilization, any additional technical alliances, or shifts in voter preference among religious Zionist constituencies.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show the joint Religious Zionist Party–Zehut list receiving around five seats, placing its projected vote share near or slightly above the 3.25% electoral threshold. The merger, finalized in early September, was driven by concerns that separate runs would leave the parties below the threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s People of Israel slate and Otzma Yehudit for overlapping nationalist and religious voters. Persistent uncertainty stems from high undecided rates near 11%, variable turnout among right-wing blocs, and fluctuating support for the broader Netanyahu-aligned parties. Trader prices reflect this narrow band of outcomes, with separation likely hinging on final-week mobilization, any additional technical alliances, or shifts in voter preference among religious Zionist constituencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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