Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at roughly 22–25 Knesset seats, or about 18–21% of the vote, as parties finalize candidate lists ahead of the October 27 election. Tight probabilities across the 18–24% bins reflect ongoing competition from Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together slate, Likud’s resilience, and the uncertain performance of smaller parties that could affect bloc arithmetic and threshold crossings. Fluctuations in recent surveys stem from shifts in undecided voters, security and economic concerns, and potential last-minute endorsements or mergers. Developments such as final pre-election polling, major campaign events, or changes in turnout patterns among key voter groups could push results toward one bin or another in the closing weeks.