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Politics·Primaries

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 76%

Tram Nguyen 16.5%

John Beccia 5.7%

Kevin Larivee <1%

Polymarket

$67,714 Vol.

Dan Koh 76%

Tram Nguyen 16.5%

John Beccia 5.7%

Kevin Larivee <1%

Polymarket

$67,714 Vol.

icon for Dan Koh

Dan Koh

$14,517 Vol.

76%

icon for Tram Nguyen

Tram Nguyen

$10,741 Vol.

17%

icon for John Beccia

John Beccia

$4,986 Vol.

6%

icon for Kevin Larivee

Kevin Larivee

$2,850 Vol.

1%

icon for Beth Andres-Beck

Beth Andres-Beck

$3,416 Vol.

1%

icon for Seth Moulton

Seth Moulton

$3,217 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominick Pangallo

Dominick Pangallo

$7,109 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mariah Lancaster

Mariah Lancaster

$3,037 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$3,970 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Jakious

Rick Jakious

$4,380 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Creemers

Rachel Creemers

$3,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Diann Slavit Baylis

Diann Slavit Baylis

$6,065 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary field due to his substantial fundraising edge, with roughly $3.6 million cash on hand as of mid-2026 and a second wave of television ads emphasizing opposition to the Trump administration. A late July/early August poll of likely Democratic primary voters showed Koh at 34 percent, nearly double the support for his nearest rivals. State Representative Tram Nguyen, the only current elected official in the race, trails as the primary challenger by highlighting her legislative record on affordability and housing plus her personal biography as a Vietnamese refugee. The September 1 primary features six other candidates with limited visibility and resources, including John Beccia and Beth Andres-Beck, whose lower polling and minimal ad presence reflect narrower paths to consolidation of support before ballots are cast. Trader consensus aligns with these resource and polling dynamics in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$67,714
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary field due to his substantial fundraising edge, with roughly $3.6 million cash on hand as of mid-2026 and a second wave of television ads emphasizing opposition to the Trump administration. A late July/early August poll of likely Democratic primary voters showed Koh at 34 percent, nearly double the support for his nearest rivals. State Representative Tram Nguyen, the only current elected official in the race, trails as the primary challenger by highlighting her legislative record on affordability and housing plus her personal biography as a Vietnamese refugee. The September 1 primary features six other candidates with limited visibility and resources, including John Beccia and Beth Andres-Beck, whose lower polling and minimal ad presence reflect narrower paths to consolidation of support before ballots are cast. Trader consensus aligns with these resource and polling dynamics in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$67,714
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Koh" at 76%, followed by "Tram Nguyen" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $67.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Dan Koh" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tram Nguyen" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.