The soft $21 million domestic opening for *The End of Oak Street*—a science-fiction survival film from David Robert Mitchell starring Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor—sets the stage for a typical mid-August hold amid heavy competition. Positive reviews (around 85% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B CinemaScore provide some audience goodwill, but the picture launched without IMAX access against dominant holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, both still drawing strong business. Traders see a 45–55% drop as the base case, centering the second-weekend range tightly between $10–12 million, with the exact finish likely hinging on word-of-mouth momentum and how quickly family audiences return after the crowded opening frame.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office
10-11m 45%
11-12m 44%
<9m 43%
12m+ 40%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
<9m
31%
9-10m
32%
10-11m
45%
11-12m
44%
12m+
40%
10-11m 45%
11-12m 44%
<9m 43%
12m+ 40%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
<9m
$20 Vol.
31%
9-10m
$0 Vol.
32%
10-11m
$0 Vol.
45%
11-12m
$0 Vol.
44%
12m+
$8 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The soft $21 million domestic opening for *The End of Oak Street*—a science-fiction survival film from David Robert Mitchell starring Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor—sets the stage for a typical mid-August hold amid heavy competition. Positive reviews (around 85% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B CinemaScore provide some audience goodwill, but the picture launched without IMAX access against dominant holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, both still drawing strong business. Traders see a 45–55% drop as the base case, centering the second-weekend range tightly between $10–12 million, with the exact finish likely hinging on word-of-mouth momentum and how quickly family audiences return after the crowded opening frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$28End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The soft $21 million domestic opening for *The End of Oak Street*—a science-fiction survival film from David Robert Mitchell starring Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor—sets the stage for a typical mid-August hold amid heavy competition. Positive reviews (around 85% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B CinemaScore provide some audience goodwill, but the picture launched without IMAX access against dominant holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, both still drawing strong business. Traders see a 45–55% drop as the base case, centering the second-weekend range tightly between $10–12 million, with the exact finish likely hinging on word-of-mouth momentum and how quickly family audiences return after the crowded opening frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$28End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The soft $21 million domestic opening for *The End of Oak Street*—a science-fiction survival film from David Robert Mitchell starring Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor—sets the stage for a typical mid-August hold amid heavy competition. Positive reviews (around 85% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B CinemaScore provide some audience goodwill, but the picture launched without IMAX access against dominant holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, both still drawing strong business. Traders see a 45–55% drop as the base case, centering the second-weekend range tightly between $10–12 million, with the exact finish likely hinging on word-of-mouth momentum and how quickly family audiences return after the crowded opening frame.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions