Recent tracking and presales data position *Insidious: Out of the Further* for a modest opening in line with prior franchise entries like *The Red Door* ($33M) and *The Last Key* ($29.5M), yet trader consensus favors sub-$25M results at 53% implied probability. Presales have held steady with the 2023 benchmark while August horror comps such as *Annabelle: Creation* and *Don’t Breathe* highlight the category’s volatility. With release just two days away on August 21, any final-weekend adjustments to marketing or word-of-mouth could shift the narrow 25-28M band (26.5%) that traders currently rank second. Historical patterns for mid-tier horror launches and competition from other August titles reinforce the market’s caution around breaking the $28M threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated“Insidious: Out of the Further” Opening Weekend Box Office
<25m 47%
25-28m 26%
28-31m 19%
31-34m 19%
<25m
47%
25-28m
26%
28-31m
19%
31-34m
19%
34m+
11%
<25m 47%
25-28m 26%
28-31m 19%
31-34m 19%
<25m
47%
25-28m
26%
28-31m
19%
31-34m
19%
34m+
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tracking and presales data position *Insidious: Out of the Further* for a modest opening in line with prior franchise entries like *The Red Door* ($33M) and *The Last Key* ($29.5M), yet trader consensus favors sub-$25M results at 53% implied probability. Presales have held steady with the 2023 benchmark while August horror comps such as *Annabelle: Creation* and *Don’t Breathe* highlight the category’s volatility. With release just two days away on August 21, any final-weekend adjustments to marketing or word-of-mouth could shift the narrow 25-28M band (26.5%) that traders currently rank second. Historical patterns for mid-tier horror launches and competition from other August titles reinforce the market’s caution around breaking the $28M threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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