Don’t Say Good Luck commands a 95.9% implied probability as the week’s top US Netflix title, reflecting dominant early viewership metrics and platform-wide promotional support that have established clear audience momentum. Traders interpret these figures as signaling sustained engagement likely to outpace competitors through the final tallies. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited but include a sharp late-week acceleration in streams for titles like Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing or To Catch a Cheater, potentially triggered by viral social amplification or stronger-than-expected critical reception that shifts daily rankings before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Don’t Say Good Luck 96.0%
To Catch a Cheater 2.4%
Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing 1.9%
The Last House <1%

Don’t Say Good Luck
96%

To Catch a Cheater
2%

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing
2%

The Last House
1%

Extinction
1%

Arthur the King
<1%
Don’t Say Good Luck 96.0%
To Catch a Cheater 2.4%
Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing 1.9%
The Last House <1%

Don’t Say Good Luck
96%

To Catch a Cheater
2%

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing
2%

The Last House
1%

Extinction
1%

Arthur the King
<1%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://top10.netflix.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolution Source
https://top10.netflix.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Don’t Say Good Luck commands a 95.9% implied probability as the week’s top US Netflix title, reflecting dominant early viewership metrics and platform-wide promotional support that have established clear audience momentum. Traders interpret these figures as signaling sustained engagement likely to outpace competitors through the final tallies. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited but include a sharp late-week acceleration in streams for titles like Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing or To Catch a Cheater, potentially triggered by viral social amplification or stronger-than-expected critical reception that shifts daily rankings before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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