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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Aug 25

Aug 25

Don't Say Good Luck 91%

The Last House 9%

Extinction <1%

Arthur the King <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Don't Say Good Luck 91%

The Last House 9%

Extinction <1%

Arthur the King <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$5,070 Vol.

91%

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$2,107 Vol.

9%

icon for Extinction

Extinction

$515 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arthur the King

Arthur the King

$349 Vol.

<1%

icon for Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

$411 Vol.

<1%

icon for To Catch a Cheater

To Catch a Cheater

$437 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Don't Say Good Luck dominates trader sentiment as the clear frontrunner for Netflix's top global movie this week, driven by its August 14 premiere and rapid ascent in viewership metrics. The coming-of-age dramedy starring Sunny Sandler has earned strong critical acclaim, including a 96% Rotten Tomatoes score, fueling buzz around its high-school musical storyline and family drama themes. Recent Tudum coverage and early chart performance have reinforced momentum, with traders viewing its debut trajectory as likely to outpace holdovers like The Last House. While competitors such as Extinction and Arthur the King register minimal implied odds, the market highlights how fresh releases with positive reception can quickly reshape weekly rankings before the next chart lock.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$8,889
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:20 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Don't Say Good Luck dominates trader sentiment as the clear frontrunner for Netflix's top global movie this week, driven by its August 14 premiere and rapid ascent in viewership metrics. The coming-of-age dramedy starring Sunny Sandler has earned strong critical acclaim, including a 96% Rotten Tomatoes score, fueling buzz around its high-school musical storyline and family drama themes. Recent Tudum coverage and early chart performance have reinforced momentum, with traders viewing its debut trajectory as likely to outpace holdovers like The Last House. While competitors such as Extinction and Arthur the King register minimal implied odds, the market highlights how fresh releases with positive reception can quickly reshape weekly rankings before the next chart lock.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$8,889
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:20 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Don't Say Good Luck" at 91%, followed by "The Last House" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is "Don't Say Good Luck" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Last House" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.