The Last House commands a 90.5% market-implied probability for the #2 spot on Netflix’s global weekly chart because of its dominant early performance following the August 7 release. The Greta Lee and Wagner Moura sci-fi thriller quickly topped internal viewership rankings with strong opening-week hours, outpacing holdovers and newer drops despite mixed critic scores around 21% on Rotten Tomatoes. Traders see limited near-term competition capable of overtaking it before the next chart lock. An upset would require a sharp drop in its viewing momentum or an unexpected surge from a title such as Don’t Say Good Luck or a catalog veteran gaining traction through algorithmic push or social buzz.