Mixed critical reception and direct competition from horror sequel Insidious: Out of the Further are anchoring trader sentiment for Mutiny’s opening weekend, with the market splitting narrowly between the 8-9 million and sub-8 million bands. Early reviews highlight a generic Jason Statham action vehicle—directed by Jean-François Richet and budgeted near 40 million—that leans on familiar mid-budget thrills yet draws complaints about pacing and thin plotting, echoing recent Statham titles like A Working Man while trailing stronger performers such as The Beekeeper. Lionsgate’s roughly 2,700-theater rollout faces a crowded late-summer slate, and modest presale tracking plus audience scores in the low-to-mid 50s on review aggregators reinforce caution. The close 47-42 percent split between the top two outcomes underscores uncertainty ahead of this weekend’s chart lock, where actual walk-up and word-of-mouth could still shift results within the broader 8-12 million forecast range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office
“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office
8-9m 52%
<8m 39%
9-10m 19%
11m+ 7.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
<8m
39%
8-9m
52%
9-10m
14%
10-11m
2%
11m+
7%
8-9m 52%
<8m 39%
9-10m 19%
11m+ 7.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
<8m
$4,156 Vol.
39%
8-9m
$523 Vol.
52%
9-10m
$237 Vol.
14%
10-11m
$183 Vol.
2%
11m+
$195 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Mixed critical reception and direct competition from horror sequel Insidious: Out of the Further are anchoring trader sentiment for Mutiny’s opening weekend, with the market splitting narrowly between the 8-9 million and sub-8 million bands. Early reviews highlight a generic Jason Statham action vehicle—directed by Jean-François Richet and budgeted near 40 million—that leans on familiar mid-budget thrills yet draws complaints about pacing and thin plotting, echoing recent Statham titles like A Working Man while trailing stronger performers such as The Beekeeper. Lionsgate’s roughly 2,700-theater rollout faces a crowded late-summer slate, and modest presale tracking plus audience scores in the low-to-mid 50s on review aggregators reinforce caution. The close 47-42 percent split between the top two outcomes underscores uncertainty ahead of this weekend’s chart lock, where actual walk-up and word-of-mouth could still shift results within the broader 8-12 million forecast range.
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$5,294End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Mixed critical reception and direct competition from horror sequel Insidious: Out of the Further are anchoring trader sentiment for Mutiny’s opening weekend, with the market splitting narrowly between the 8-9 million and sub-8 million bands. Early reviews highlight a generic Jason Statham action vehicle—directed by Jean-François Richet and budgeted near 40 million—that leans on familiar mid-budget thrills yet draws complaints about pacing and thin plotting, echoing recent Statham titles like A Working Man while trailing stronger performers such as The Beekeeper. Lionsgate’s roughly 2,700-theater rollout faces a crowded late-summer slate, and modest presale tracking plus audience scores in the low-to-mid 50s on review aggregators reinforce caution. The close 47-42 percent split between the top two outcomes underscores uncertainty ahead of this weekend’s chart lock, where actual walk-up and word-of-mouth could still shift results within the broader 8-12 million forecast range.
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$5,294End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mixed critical reception and direct competition from horror sequel Insidious: Out of the Further are anchoring trader sentiment for Mutiny’s opening weekend, with the market splitting narrowly between the 8-9 million and sub-8 million bands. Early reviews highlight a generic Jason Statham action vehicle—directed by Jean-François Richet and budgeted near 40 million—that leans on familiar mid-budget thrills yet draws complaints about pacing and thin plotting, echoing recent Statham titles like A Working Man while trailing stronger performers such as The Beekeeper. Lionsgate’s roughly 2,700-theater rollout faces a crowded late-summer slate, and modest presale tracking plus audience scores in the low-to-mid 50s on review aggregators reinforce caution. The close 47-42 percent split between the top two outcomes underscores uncertainty ahead of this weekend’s chart lock, where actual walk-up and word-of-mouth could still shift results within the broader 8-12 million forecast range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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