Recent polling averages place the AfD well ahead of the CDU and other parties ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, with the far-right party consistently at 41-43 percent while the CDU sits near 22-24 percent. This sustained lead, combined with the 5 percent threshold that risks excluding smaller parties such as the BSW, FDP, and Greens, underpins trader expectations that the AfD will secure the largest share of seats and potentially an outright majority. The CDU’s January leadership change has not narrowed the gap. Late shifts in turnout among eastern German voters or unexpected consolidation behind the CDU remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 98.0%
CDU 1.3%
The Left <1%
BSW <1%
$882,235 Vol.
$882,235 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
98%
CDU
1%
The Left
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
SPD
<1%
The Greens
<1%
AfD 98.0%
CDU 1.3%
The Left <1%
BSW <1%
$882,235 Vol.
$882,235 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
$88,202 Vol.
98%
CDU
$501,793 Vol.
1%
The Left
$47,106 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$36,803 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$27,385 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$124,095 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$56,851 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place the AfD well ahead of the CDU and other parties ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, with the far-right party consistently at 41-43 percent while the CDU sits near 22-24 percent. This sustained lead, combined with the 5 percent threshold that risks excluding smaller parties such as the BSW, FDP, and Greens, underpins trader expectations that the AfD will secure the largest share of seats and potentially an outright majority. The CDU’s January leadership change has not narrowed the gap. Late shifts in turnout among eastern German voters or unexpected consolidation behind the CDU remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$882,235End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place the AfD well ahead of the CDU and other parties ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, with the far-right party consistently at 41-43 percent while the CDU sits near 22-24 percent. This sustained lead, combined with the 5 percent threshold that risks excluding smaller parties such as the BSW, FDP, and Greens, underpins trader expectations that the AfD will secure the largest share of seats and potentially an outright majority. The CDU’s January leadership change has not narrowed the gap. Late shifts in turnout among eastern German voters or unexpected consolidation behind the CDU remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$882,235End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages place the AfD well ahead of the CDU and other parties ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, with the far-right party consistently at 41-43 percent while the CDU sits near 22-24 percent. This sustained lead, combined with the 5 percent threshold that risks excluding smaller parties such as the BSW, FDP, and Greens, underpins trader expectations that the AfD will secure the largest share of seats and potentially an outright majority. The CDU’s January leadership change has not narrowed the gap. Late shifts in turnout among eastern German voters or unexpected consolidation behind the CDU remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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