Recent opinion polls for Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election place Centre Party (Centerpartiet) support in the 6–7% range, consistent with the market's leading 5–7% outcome. Surveys from Demoskop, Novus and Indikator Opinion through early August show C hovering between 6.6% and 7.3%, reflecting steady but limited backing amid bloc competition. The party's stated priority of backing a new government excluding both the Left Party and Sweden Democrats positions it as a potential kingmaker, yet the centre-left bloc's polling lead reduces its leverage. No major recent shifts in leadership, policy announcements or scandals have altered this trajectory in the past month, leaving traders focused on whether turnout dynamics or late campaign focus on rural and economic issues could push C outside the narrow band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5-7% 55%
7-9% 25%
9%+ 21%
<5% 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<5%
18%
5-7%
57%
7-9%
25%
9%+
21%
5-7% 55%
7-9% 25%
9%+ 21%
<5% 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<5%
$0 Vol.
18%
5-7%
$109 Vol.
57%
7-9%
$0 Vol.
25%
9%+
$0 Vol.
21%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls for Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election place Centre Party (Centerpartiet) support in the 6–7% range, consistent with the market's leading 5–7% outcome. Surveys from Demoskop, Novus and Indikator Opinion through early August show C hovering between 6.6% and 7.3%, reflecting steady but limited backing amid bloc competition. The party's stated priority of backing a new government excluding both the Left Party and Sweden Democrats positions it as a potential kingmaker, yet the centre-left bloc's polling lead reduces its leverage. No major recent shifts in leadership, policy announcements or scandals have altered this trajectory in the past month, leaving traders focused on whether turnout dynamics or late campaign focus on rural and economic issues could push C outside the narrow band.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$109End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls for Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election place Centre Party (Centerpartiet) support in the 6–7% range, consistent with the market's leading 5–7% outcome. Surveys from Demoskop, Novus and Indikator Opinion through early August show C hovering between 6.6% and 7.3%, reflecting steady but limited backing amid bloc competition. The party's stated priority of backing a new government excluding both the Left Party and Sweden Democrats positions it as a potential kingmaker, yet the centre-left bloc's polling lead reduces its leverage. No major recent shifts in leadership, policy announcements or scandals have altered this trajectory in the past month, leaving traders focused on whether turnout dynamics or late campaign focus on rural and economic issues could push C outside the narrow band.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$109End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election place Centre Party (Centerpartiet) support in the 6–7% range, consistent with the market's leading 5–7% outcome. Surveys from Demoskop, Novus and Indikator Opinion through early August show C hovering between 6.6% and 7.3%, reflecting steady but limited backing amid bloc competition. The party's stated priority of backing a new government excluding both the Left Party and Sweden Democrats positions it as a potential kingmaker, yet the centre-left bloc's polling lead reduces its leverage. No major recent shifts in leadership, policy announcements or scandals have altered this trajectory in the past month, leaving traders focused on whether turnout dynamics or late campaign focus on rural and economic issues could push C outside the narrow band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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