The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 produced confirmed turnout of 44.37 percent, equating to roughly 35,111 votes from an electorate of about 79,785. Traders have converged on the 30k–40k band because by-elections routinely record lower participation than general elections, and this contest featured additional dampeners including the absence of major-party candidates, an August polling date, and a record 34-candidate ballot that lengthened queues and may have reduced engagement. The drop from the 58.7 percent turnout in 2024 aligns with patterns seen in other low-salience by-elections. While the result is now known, residual uncertainty around final verified figures or minor adjustments to the electorate roll could still shift the precise total within the dominant range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30k-40k 100.0%
<10k <1%
10k-20k <1%
20k-30k <1%
$58,287 Vol.
$58,287 Vol.
<10k
<1%
10k-20k
<1%
20k-30k
<1%
30k-40k
100%
40k-50k
<1%
50k-60k
<1%
60k+
<1%
30k-40k 100.0%
<10k <1%
10k-20k <1%
20k-30k <1%
$58,287 Vol.
$58,287 Vol.
<10k
<1%
10k-20k
<1%
20k-30k
<1%
30k-40k
100%
40k-50k
<1%
50k-60k
<1%
60k+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 produced confirmed turnout of 44.37 percent, equating to roughly 35,111 votes from an electorate of about 79,785. Traders have converged on the 30k–40k band because by-elections routinely record lower participation than general elections, and this contest featured additional dampeners including the absence of major-party candidates, an August polling date, and a record 34-candidate ballot that lengthened queues and may have reduced engagement. The drop from the 58.7 percent turnout in 2024 aligns with patterns seen in other low-salience by-elections. While the result is now known, residual uncertainty around final verified figures or minor adjustments to the electorate roll could still shift the precise total within the dominant range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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