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icon for Clacton by-election: Turnout

Clacton by-election: Turnout

icon for Clacton by-election: Turnout

Clacton by-election: Turnout

30k-40k 100.0%

<10k <1%

10k-20k <1%

20k-30k <1%

Polymarket

$58,287 Vol.

30k-40k 100.0%

<10k <1%

10k-20k <1%

20k-30k <1%

Polymarket

$58,287 Vol.

<10k

$1,082 Vol.

<1%

10k-20k

$16,258 Vol.

<1%

20k-30k

$11,654 Vol.

<1%

30k-40k

$18,720 Vol.

100%

40k-50k

$6,431 Vol.

<1%

50k-60k

$1,753 Vol.

<1%

60k+

$2,388 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 produced confirmed turnout of 44.37 percent, equating to roughly 35,111 votes from an electorate of about 79,785. Traders have converged on the 30k–40k band because by-elections routinely record lower participation than general elections, and this contest featured additional dampeners including the absence of major-party candidates, an August polling date, and a record 34-candidate ballot that lengthened queues and may have reduced engagement. The drop from the 58.7 percent turnout in 2024 aligns with patterns seen in other low-salience by-elections. While the result is now known, residual uncertainty around final verified figures or minor adjustments to the electorate roll could still shift the precise total within the dominant range.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$58,287
End Date
Aug 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window extended

Final

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 produced confirmed turnout of 44.37 percent, equating to roughly 35,111 votes from an electorate of about 79,785. Traders have converged on the 30k–40k band because by-elections routinely record lower participation than general elections, and this contest featured additional dampeners including the absence of major-party candidates, an August polling date, and a record 34-candidate ballot that lengthened queues and may have reduced engagement. The drop from the 58.7 percent turnout in 2024 aligns with patterns seen in other low-salience by-elections. While the result is now known, residual uncertainty around final verified figures or minor adjustments to the electorate roll could still shift the precise total within the dominant range.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$58,287
End Date
Aug 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window extended

Final

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Clacton by-election: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30k-40k" at 100%, followed by "<10k" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Clacton by-election: Turnout" has generated $58.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Clacton by-election: Turnout," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Clacton by-election: Turnout" is "30k-40k" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<10k" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Clacton by-election: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.