Major parties including Labour, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens boycotted the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation, leaving novelty candidate Count Binface as the sole prominent challenger. This structural absence concentrated protest and tactical votes behind Binface, who secured 9,455 votes (26.9 percent) against Farage’s 22,239 (63.3 percent), with every other contender below 500 votes. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Binface in second place reflects the confirmed tally and the absence of any competitive alternatives. Late challenges remain theoretically possible only through verified counting discrepancies or successful candidate disqualifications, both of which appear remote given the scale of the margin and official declarations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCount Binface 100.0%
Nigel Farage <1%
Giles Watling <1%
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul <1%
$749,154 Vol.
$749,154 Vol.
Nigel Farage
No
Giles Watling
No
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
No
Matthew Bensilum
No
Natasha Osben
No
Tony Mack
No
Andrew Pemberton
No
Count Binface
Yes
Laurence Fox
No
Piers Corbyn
No
Adham Alkhatip
No
Rees Cowne
No
Kai Stephens
No
Luke Worley
No
John Stevens
No
William Clouston
No
Pamela Walford
No
Count Binface 100.0%
Nigel Farage <1%
Giles Watling <1%
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul <1%
$749,154 Vol.
$749,154 Vol.
Nigel Farage
No
Giles Watling
No
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
No
Matthew Bensilum
No
Natasha Osben
No
Tony Mack
No
Andrew Pemberton
No
Count Binface
Yes
Laurence Fox
No
Piers Corbyn
No
Adham Alkhatip
No
Rees Cowne
No
Kai Stephens
No
Luke Worley
No
John Stevens
No
William Clouston
No
Pamela Walford
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Major parties including Labour, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens boycotted the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation, leaving novelty candidate Count Binface as the sole prominent challenger. This structural absence concentrated protest and tactical votes behind Binface, who secured 9,455 votes (26.9 percent) against Farage’s 22,239 (63.3 percent), with every other contender below 500 votes. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Binface in second place reflects the confirmed tally and the absence of any competitive alternatives. Late challenges remain theoretically possible only through verified counting discrepancies or successful candidate disqualifications, both of which appear remote given the scale of the margin and official declarations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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