Recent polling trends position Sweden's Centre Party (Centerpartiet) near or slightly above 6% in the run-up to the September 13, 2026 parliamentary election, with aggregates from sources such as Novus and PolitPro showing figures around 6.9–7.3% as of early August. This level aligns with the party's 6.71% result in 2022 and modest gains noted in official SCB surveys from May 2026. The party's stated priority of backing a new government excluding both the Sweden Democrats and the Left Party has kept it in a potential kingmaker role within broader centre-left and liberal dynamics, supporting steady but not surging support. Traders price the "over 6%" outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the current polling cluster above the line alongside the limited time remaining for major shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOver
63% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Over
63% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling trends position Sweden's Centre Party (Centerpartiet) near or slightly above 6% in the run-up to the September 13, 2026 parliamentary election, with aggregates from sources such as Novus and PolitPro showing figures around 6.9–7.3% as of early August. This level aligns with the party's 6.71% result in 2022 and modest gains noted in official SCB surveys from May 2026. The party's stated priority of backing a new government excluding both the Sweden Democrats and the Left Party has kept it in a potential kingmaker role within broader centre-left and liberal dynamics, supporting steady but not surging support. Traders price the "over 6%" outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the current polling cluster above the line alongside the limited time remaining for major shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$474End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling trends position Sweden's Centre Party (Centerpartiet) near or slightly above 6% in the run-up to the September 13, 2026 parliamentary election, with aggregates from sources such as Novus and PolitPro showing figures around 6.9–7.3% as of early August. This level aligns with the party's 6.71% result in 2022 and modest gains noted in official SCB surveys from May 2026. The party's stated priority of backing a new government excluding both the Sweden Democrats and the Left Party has kept it in a potential kingmaker role within broader centre-left and liberal dynamics, supporting steady but not surging support. Traders price the "over 6%" outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the current polling cluster above the line alongside the limited time remaining for major shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$474End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling trends position Sweden's Centre Party (Centerpartiet) near or slightly above 6% in the run-up to the September 13, 2026 parliamentary election, with aggregates from sources such as Novus and PolitPro showing figures around 6.9–7.3% as of early August. This level aligns with the party's 6.71% result in 2022 and modest gains noted in official SCB surveys from May 2026. The party's stated priority of backing a new government excluding both the Sweden Democrats and the Left Party has kept it in a potential kingmaker role within broader centre-left and liberal dynamics, supporting steady but not surging support. Traders price the "over 6%" outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the current polling cluster above the line alongside the limited time remaining for major shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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