Recent polls from early August place the AfD at 41–43% support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, with the CDU trailing at 22–24% and smaller parties fragmented below 15%. These figures, drawn from INSA, Pollytix, and Infratest dimap surveys, point to the AfD securing roughly 38–41 of the 83 seats under proportional allocation, aligning with the market’s strongest outcome. Voter discontent with the incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition and persistent migration concerns have sustained AfD gains since 2021, while the CDU continues to lose ground. With the election three weeks away, limited remaining campaign events and no major shifts in other parties’ polling keep the 38–41 seat range as the consensus projection among traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38-41 62%
42-45 25%
46-49 7%
34-37 5.8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<34
3%
34-37
6%
38-41
62%
42-45
25%
46-49
7%
50+
2%
38-41 62%
42-45 25%
46-49 7%
34-37 5.8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<34
$2,546 Vol.
3%
34-37
$283 Vol.
6%
38-41
$3,471 Vol.
62%
42-45
$900 Vol.
25%
46-49
$958 Vol.
7%
50+
$1,708 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls from early August place the AfD at 41–43% support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, with the CDU trailing at 22–24% and smaller parties fragmented below 15%. These figures, drawn from INSA, Pollytix, and Infratest dimap surveys, point to the AfD securing roughly 38–41 of the 83 seats under proportional allocation, aligning with the market’s strongest outcome. Voter discontent with the incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition and persistent migration concerns have sustained AfD gains since 2021, while the CDU continues to lose ground. With the election three weeks away, limited remaining campaign events and no major shifts in other parties’ polling keep the 38–41 seat range as the consensus projection among traders.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Volume
$9,867End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls from early August place the AfD at 41–43% support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, with the CDU trailing at 22–24% and smaller parties fragmented below 15%. These figures, drawn from INSA, Pollytix, and Infratest dimap surveys, point to the AfD securing roughly 38–41 of the 83 seats under proportional allocation, aligning with the market’s strongest outcome. Voter discontent with the incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition and persistent migration concerns have sustained AfD gains since 2021, while the CDU continues to lose ground. With the election three weeks away, limited remaining campaign events and no major shifts in other parties’ polling keep the 38–41 seat range as the consensus projection among traders.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$9,867End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from early August place the AfD at 41–43% support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, with the CDU trailing at 22–24% and smaller parties fragmented below 15%. These figures, drawn from INSA, Pollytix, and Infratest dimap surveys, point to the AfD securing roughly 38–41 of the 83 seats under proportional allocation, aligning with the market’s strongest outcome. Voter discontent with the incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition and persistent migration concerns have sustained AfD gains since 2021, while the CDU continues to lose ground. With the election three weeks away, limited remaining campaign events and no major shifts in other parties’ polling keep the 38–41 seat range as the consensus projection among traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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