With the Republican nominee Kevin Hern in place after the June primary and the Democratic runoff between Jim Priest and N'Kiyla Thomas set for August 25, trader consensus on Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate election turnout remains tightly clustered across the 1.1M–1.3M range. The state's historically low participation—averaging under 50% of eligible voters in recent cycles and ranking among the nation's lowest—combined with limited race competitiveness sustains uncertainty. Upcoming campaign mobilization, early voting from late October, and any national midterm dynamics could shift totals before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
1.2M-1.3M 42%
<900K 39%
1M-1.1M 39%
1.1M-1.2M 39%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<900K
39%
900K-1M
38%
1M-1.1M
39%
1.1M-1.2M
39%
1.2M-1.3M
42%
1.3M-1.4M
38%
1.4M+
37%
1.2M-1.3M 42%
<900K 39%
1M-1.1M 39%
1.1M-1.2M 39%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<900K
$0 Vol.
39%
900K-1M
$0 Vol.
38%
1M-1.1M
$0 Vol.
39%
1.1M-1.2M
$0 Vol.
39%
1.2M-1.3M
$0 Vol.
42%
1.3M-1.4M
$0 Vol.
38%
1.4M+
$0 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the Republican nominee Kevin Hern in place after the June primary and the Democratic runoff between Jim Priest and N'Kiyla Thomas set for August 25, trader consensus on Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate election turnout remains tightly clustered across the 1.1M–1.3M range. The state's historically low participation—averaging under 50% of eligible voters in recent cycles and ranking among the nation's lowest—combined with limited race competitiveness sustains uncertainty. Upcoming campaign mobilization, early voting from late October, and any national midterm dynamics could shift totals before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the Republican nominee Kevin Hern in place after the June primary and the Democratic runoff between Jim Priest and N'Kiyla Thomas set for August 25, trader consensus on Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate election turnout remains tightly clustered across the 1.1M–1.3M range. The state's historically low participation—averaging under 50% of eligible voters in recent cycles and ranking among the nation's lowest—combined with limited race competitiveness sustains uncertainty. Upcoming campaign mobilization, early voting from late October, and any national midterm dynamics could shift totals before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the Republican nominee Kevin Hern in place after the June primary and the Democratic runoff between Jim Priest and N'Kiyla Thomas set for August 25, trader consensus on Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate election turnout remains tightly clustered across the 1.1M–1.3M range. The state's historically low participation—averaging under 50% of eligible voters in recent cycles and ranking among the nation's lowest—combined with limited race competitiveness sustains uncertainty. Upcoming campaign mobilization, early voting from late October, and any national midterm dynamics could shift totals before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?
45%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,150,000 and 2,300,000?
38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?
44%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions