Frank Scarpitti, the long-serving incumbent mayor of Markham since 2006, holds a dominant 90.5% implied probability in the market for the October 2026 municipal election winner. Nominations closed in late August with a limited three-candidate field consisting of Scarpitti, Stephen Edgell, and Martin Ross. Scarpitti’s position stems from repeated strong past performances, including 64% in 2022, combined with the absence of prominent challengers such as former deputy mayor Michael Chan. Martin Ross trails at 5.9% amid limited name recognition beyond a prior local dispute. Voting occurs online from October 16–26. Late developments, including candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in turnout among key wards, remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,770 Vol.
$14,770 Vol.
Oct 25, 2026
Frank Scarpitti
90%
Martin Ross
6%
$14,770 Vol.
$14,770 Vol.
Oct 25, 2026
Frank Scarpitti
$13,884 Vol.
90%
Martin Ross
$886 Vol.
6%
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.Frank Scarpitti, the long-serving incumbent mayor of Markham since 2006, holds a dominant 90.5% implied probability in the market for the October 2026 municipal election winner. Nominations closed in late August with a limited three-candidate field consisting of Scarpitti, Stephen Edgell, and Martin Ross. Scarpitti’s position stems from repeated strong past performances, including 64% in 2022, combined with the absence of prominent challengers such as former deputy mayor Michael Chan. Martin Ross trails at 5.9% amid limited name recognition beyond a prior local dispute. Voting occurs online from October 16–26. Late developments, including candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in turnout among key wards, remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before resolution.
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$14,770End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.Frank Scarpitti, the long-serving incumbent mayor of Markham since 2006, holds a dominant 90.5% implied probability in the market for the October 2026 municipal election winner. Nominations closed in late August with a limited three-candidate field consisting of Scarpitti, Stephen Edgell, and Martin Ross. Scarpitti’s position stems from repeated strong past performances, including 64% in 2022, combined with the absence of prominent challengers such as former deputy mayor Michael Chan. Martin Ross trails at 5.9% amid limited name recognition beyond a prior local dispute. Voting occurs online from October 16–26. Late developments, including candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in turnout among key wards, remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before resolution.
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
Volume
$14,770End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Frank Scarpitti, the long-serving incumbent mayor of Markham since 2006, holds a dominant 90.5% implied probability in the market for the October 2026 municipal election winner. Nominations closed in late August with a limited three-candidate field consisting of Scarpitti, Stephen Edgell, and Martin Ross. Scarpitti’s position stems from repeated strong past performances, including 64% in 2022, combined with the absence of prominent challengers such as former deputy mayor Michael Chan. Martin Ross trails at 5.9% amid limited name recognition beyond a prior local dispute. Voting occurs online from October 16–26. Late developments, including candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in turnout among key wards, remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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