Current forecasts from multiple models project Wuhan’s overnight low on August 25 near 27–28 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light easterly flow that should keep radiational cooling modest. Historical August averages place typical lows at 25–26 °C, while recent days have seen values around 27 °C amid scattered convective activity that can either suppress or briefly elevate minimum temperatures. The near-even market odds between sub-23 °C and 33 °C+ outcomes reflect trader awareness of forecast spread in numerical models and the potential for an unexpected surge or weakening of the heat ridge to shift the actual minimum by several degrees either way before the 24-hour verification window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
23°C or below 97%
33°C or higher 97%
30°C 51%
32°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
97%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
2%
32°C
51%
33°C or higher
97%
23°C or below 97%
33°C or higher 97%
30°C 51%
32°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
97%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
51%
31°C
$5 Vol.
2%
32°C
$5 Vol.
51%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models project Wuhan’s overnight low on August 25 near 27–28 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light easterly flow that should keep radiational cooling modest. Historical August averages place typical lows at 25–26 °C, while recent days have seen values around 27 °C amid scattered convective activity that can either suppress or briefly elevate minimum temperatures. The near-even market odds between sub-23 °C and 33 °C+ outcomes reflect trader awareness of forecast spread in numerical models and the potential for an unexpected surge or weakening of the heat ridge to shift the actual minimum by several degrees either way before the 24-hour verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models project Wuhan’s overnight low on August 25 near 27–28 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light easterly flow that should keep radiational cooling modest. Historical August averages place typical lows at 25–26 °C, while recent days have seen values around 27 °C amid scattered convective activity that can either suppress or briefly elevate minimum temperatures. The near-even market odds between sub-23 °C and 33 °C+ outcomes reflect trader awareness of forecast spread in numerical models and the potential for an unexpected surge or weakening of the heat ridge to shift the actual minimum by several degrees either way before the 24-hour verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models project Wuhan’s overnight low on August 25 near 27–28 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light easterly flow that should keep radiational cooling modest. Historical August averages place typical lows at 25–26 °C, while recent days have seen values around 27 °C amid scattered convective activity that can either suppress or briefly elevate minimum temperatures. The near-even market odds between sub-23 °C and 33 °C+ outcomes reflect trader awareness of forecast spread in numerical models and the potential for an unexpected surge or weakening of the heat ridge to shift the actual minimum by several degrees either way before the 24-hour verification window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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