Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory point to a daytime high of 34–35°C on August 24, with partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, and moderate humidity around 65–70%. These conditions create tight uncertainty around peak values: afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap temperatures below 36°C by reducing solar heating, while localized urban heat effects or brief clear spells could push readings to 36°C. Official guidance and ensemble consensus currently favor the lower end of this range, yet small shifts in storm timing or intensity keep 35°C and 36°C closely matched in trader assessments. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 12–18 hours will likely clarify the outcome before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
36°C 35%
35°C 31%
34°C 13%
37°C or higher 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
13%
35°C
31%
36°C
35%
37°C or higher
12%
36°C 35%
35°C 31%
34°C 13%
37°C or higher 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$9 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$472 Vol.
1%
31°C
$88 Vol.
1%
32°C
$754 Vol.
3%
33°C
$540 Vol.
4%
34°C
$821 Vol.
13%
35°C
$414 Vol.
31%
36°C
$751 Vol.
35%
37°C or higher
$502 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory point to a daytime high of 34–35°C on August 24, with partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, and moderate humidity around 65–70%. These conditions create tight uncertainty around peak values: afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap temperatures below 36°C by reducing solar heating, while localized urban heat effects or brief clear spells could push readings to 36°C. Official guidance and ensemble consensus currently favor the lower end of this range, yet small shifts in storm timing or intensity keep 35°C and 36°C closely matched in trader assessments. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 12–18 hours will likely clarify the outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,368End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory point to a daytime high of 34–35°C on August 24, with partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, and moderate humidity around 65–70%. These conditions create tight uncertainty around peak values: afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap temperatures below 36°C by reducing solar heating, while localized urban heat effects or brief clear spells could push readings to 36°C. Official guidance and ensemble consensus currently favor the lower end of this range, yet small shifts in storm timing or intensity keep 35°C and 36°C closely matched in trader assessments. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 12–18 hours will likely clarify the outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,368End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory point to a daytime high of 34–35°C on August 24, with partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, and moderate humidity around 65–70%. These conditions create tight uncertainty around peak values: afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap temperatures below 36°C by reducing solar heating, while localized urban heat effects or brief clear spells could push readings to 36°C. Official guidance and ensemble consensus currently favor the lower end of this range, yet small shifts in storm timing or intensity keep 35°C and 36°C closely matched in trader assessments. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 12–18 hours will likely clarify the outcome before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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