Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate overnight lows in Wuhan on August 22 will likely settle between 25–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High daytime humidity near 60–75% and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling after recent highs of 34–36°C, while partly cloudy skies and urban heat retention further stabilize minimum temperatures in this narrow band. Recent observations show consistent nighttime readings near 26–28°C with no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences shifting the pattern, creating genuine uncertainty that traders price as closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from this consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 22?
27°C 34%
26°C 33%
29°C 28%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
33%
27°C
34%
28°C
27%
29°C
28%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 34%
26°C 33%
29°C 28%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$85 Vol.
1%
23°C
$77 Vol.
6%
24°C
$48 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
33%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$205 Vol.
7%
31°C
$23 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate overnight lows in Wuhan on August 22 will likely settle between 25–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High daytime humidity near 60–75% and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling after recent highs of 34–36°C, while partly cloudy skies and urban heat retention further stabilize minimum temperatures in this narrow band. Recent observations show consistent nighttime readings near 26–28°C with no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences shifting the pattern, creating genuine uncertainty that traders price as closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from this consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$458End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate overnight lows in Wuhan on August 22 will likely settle between 25–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High daytime humidity near 60–75% and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling after recent highs of 34–36°C, while partly cloudy skies and urban heat retention further stabilize minimum temperatures in this narrow band. Recent observations show consistent nighttime readings near 26–28°C with no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences shifting the pattern, creating genuine uncertainty that traders price as closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from this consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$458End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate overnight lows in Wuhan on August 22 will likely settle between 25–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High daytime humidity near 60–75% and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling after recent highs of 34–36°C, while partly cloudy skies and urban heat retention further stabilize minimum temperatures in this narrow band. Recent observations show consistent nighttime readings near 26–28°C with no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences shifting the pattern, creating genuine uncertainty that traders price as closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from this consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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